Army-Navy Over/Under Falling Thanks to Historical Trend

Dec 08, 2018 9:00 AM EST
  • After opening as high as 52.5, the total for Saturday's Army-Navy game is down to 39.5.
  • Bettors have been banking on a historically profitable trend to cause the drastic line move.

If you’ve taken a glance ahead at the lines for Saturday’s Army-Navy game, you’ve probably noticed the especially low total. At 39.5, the over/under is tied for the sixth-lowest this season.

What’s more impressive, though, is where that number started.

Depending on the sportsbook, the total opened anywhere from 44 to 52.5 for the earliest books to post, meaning in some cases it’s fallen more than 10 points.


>> All odds as of 12 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college football odds and track your bets.


Over the course of the week, 64% of bets accounting for 86% of money have played the under. That heavy support has been the cause of the line move, but causing that support has been a ridiculous historical trend.

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
-2.5
44
-2
42.5
55
-4.5
54
-2.5
-3
54.5
-3
52.5
-6
66.5
-6
60.5
48
-11
49.5
-12.5
-2.5
73
-3
75
67.5
-5
59.5
-3.5
-3
53.5
-2
51.5
-1.5
57.5
PK
61
55
-3.5
56
-2.5
61
-3.5
58
-5
41
-2
39.5
PK
56.5
-3
55
-4.5
-3
47
-3.5
48
-6.5
55
-4.5
55
54.5
-5
54.5
-3.5
-7
74
-1.5
67
54.5
-6.5
55
-3.5
50.5
-6
50.5
-7.5
-6.5
55
-5.5
54.5
-2
58.5
-2
58
56
-11
55
-13.5
79
-13.5
80
-14
-6.5
53.5
-5.5
53.5
-6.5
52
-6.5
52
48
-1.5
48
-3
-10
71
-8
74.5
45
-6.5
46
-7
58.5
-4.5
58.5
-6.5
-5
44.5
-7
44
-8
54.5
-7.5
55.5
48
-4
47.5
-7
58.5
-5
58
-6.5
58
-10.5
58
-13.5

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