Heisman Odds Watch: Gardner Minshew Making a Case Following Week 11

Heisman Odds Watch: Gardner Minshew Making a Case Following Week 11 article feature image

Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Gardner Minshew

  • Only five players are still listed with odds to win the Heisman Trophy.
  • After being off left the board up until this point, Gardner Minshew is now listed at +800, making him this week's biggest riser.

Only two weeks are left in college football’s regular season, and just five players remain with odds listed to win the Heisman Trophy.

By now the first name on the list should come as no surprise. Tua Tagovailoa has been an odds-on favorite to win the award for well over a month now, and this marks his second straight week at -1000.

Behind him, though, comes a new face. Washington State quarterback Gardner Minshew had yet to be listed, but this week lands at +800.

According to Heisman odds, that makes him the second-most likely player to win the award.

It’s worth noting, however, that Minshew’s odds, along with just about every other player’s on the list, differ greatly depending on the sportsbook, so be sure to shop around if you’re looking to place a wager of your own.

On that note, here are the updated odds:

Table defaults to preseason odds. Click on a date to sort.


Gardner Minshew (QB, Washington State): N/A to +800 (N/A to 11.11% implied probability)

Week 11 @ Colorado: 35 for 58, 335 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT. 26 rush yards on 6 attempts, 1 TD.

As mentioned, Minshew’s odds vary across the board. He’s listed at +5000 at other books that have carried his odds for the past few weeks. One book, however, is offering Minshew at +800, making him the biggest riser following Week 11.

Minshew has almost 100 more completions than any other FBS quarterback, and close to 500 more yards.

Unfortunately for Wazzu, it looks like a one-loss season might not be enough for the playoff this year, but if he can at least keep the Cougars in the playoff discussion, he should be deserving of a spot in the Heisman conversation as well.

Will Grier (QB, West Virginia): +1800 to +1000 (5.26% to 9.09% implied probability)

Week 11 vs. TCU: 25 for 39, 343 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT

For the first time in over a month, Grier finds himself listed at 10-1 or better. Grier’s 31 touchdowns are fifth best in the nation, and his passer efficiency rating ranks third.


Dwayne Haskins (QB, Ohio State): +1400 to N/A (6.67% implied probability to N/A)

Week 11 @ Michigan State: 24 for 29, 227 yards, 1 TD 0 INT

Haskins pulled off a 26-6 win in East Lansing on Saturday, but with a less-than-stellar individual performance, on top of the fact that Ohio State’s playoff chances have diminished over the past few weeks, his odds no longer remain on the board.

Shea Patterson (QB, Michigan): +2500 to +1200 (3.85% to 7.69% implied probability)

Week 11 @ Rutgers: 18 for 27, 260 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT

As has been the case for most of the year, Patterson’s individual stats haven’t exactly been off the charts. Instead, he’s been relying on turnover protection and overall team wins to boost his Heisman stock.

After Week 11, however, that seems to have caught up with the Michigan QB, as he’s now down to 25-1 despite a typical game from Patterson.

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