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Heisman Odds Watch: Bryce Love Among Week 1’s Biggest Losers

  • Odds to win the Heisman Trophy have changed as a result of Week 1 performances.
  • The biggest risers of the week include West Virginia's Will Grier, while Stanford's Bryce Love is one of the week's biggest fallers.

With Week 1 in the books, oddsmakers have adjusted their Heisman odds to account for each player’s Week 1 performances. The Heisman odds market is very fluid, which means one game can have a serious impact on a given player’s chances — especially early in the season.

With that in mind, here are the biggest Heisman risers and fallers following Week 1.

Biggest Risers

Will Grier (QB, West Virginia): +1500 to +600 (6.25% to 14.29% implied probability)

Week 1 vs. Tennessee: 25 of 34, 429 yards, 5 TD, 0 INT

Now the second-favorite to win the award, Grier lit up the Vols defense on Saturday, putting up 429 yards en route to a 40-14 win.

McKenzie Milton (QB, UCF): +5000 to +1200 (1.96% to 7.69% implied probability)

Week 1 at UConn: 24 for 32, 346 yards, 5 TD, 0 INT, 50 yards rushing

He’s still got a ways to go, but because his preseason odds were so far behind, Milton gained the most of any player from his Week 1 performance. His five touchdowns led the Knights in a 56-17 rout at UConn.

JT Daniels (QB, USC): +10000 to +4000 (0.99% to 2.44% implied probability)

Week 1 vs. UNLV: 22 for 35, 282 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT

The true freshman didn’t have quite the stat line to match up with Grier or Milton, but it was enough for his Heisman stock to take a significant jump. His +4000 odds are tied for 16th-highest.

Trayveon Williams (RB, Texas A&M): +30000 to +8000 (0.33% to 1.23% implied probability)

Week 1 vs. Northwestern State: 240 rush yards on 20 attempts, 3 TD

Overall it wasn’t the best opening week for running backs in Heisman contention. Both Bryce Love and Jonathan Taylor took steps back, but Texas A&M’s Williams shot up from the bottom of the pack to become the ninth-most likely back to win the award.


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Biggest Fallers

Bryce Love (RB, Stanford): +450 to +1200 (18.18% to 7.69% implied probability)

Week 1 vs. San Diego State: 29 rush yards on 18 attempts, 18 receiving yards on 3 catches

Despite his 21 total touches, Love couldn’t get off the ground on Saturday, leading to the largest drop in implied probability for any player following Week 1.

Jake Browning (QB, Washington): +2500 to +5000 (3.85% to 1.96% implied probability)

Week 1 vs. Auburn: 18 for 32, 296 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT

Facing the Auburn defense was a tough Week 1 draw for Browning, and although he threw for nearly 300 yards, he struggled to get the ball in the end zone, and more importantly, Washington lost the game.

Shea Patterson (QB, Michigan): +3000 to +6000 (1.64% to 3.23% implied probability)

Week 1 at Notre Dame: 20 for 30, 227 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT

Patterson’s Michigan career did not get off to the hottest of starts. From the get-go he was playing from behind, which couldn’t have helped, but he was still able to lead the Wolverines offense to only one total touchdown … and it didn’t even count toward his stat line.

Credit:

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Stanford Cardinal running back Bryce Love

Follow Danny Donahue on Twitter
@dannyjdonahue
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