Toledo vs. Buffalo Picks, Predictions & Betting Odds: Will Bulls Be Able to Contain Rockets on Wednesday?

Toledo vs. Buffalo Picks, Predictions & Betting Odds: Will Bulls Be Able to Contain Rockets on Wednesday? article feature image

Matthew O’Haren, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Julien Bourassa

  • The Buffalo Bulls have moved all the way up to being 9.5-point favorites vs. the Toledo Rockets in the latest betting odds, with an over/under set at 54 (kickoff time: 7:30 p.m. ET).
  • How should you be betting on Wednesday night's MACtion game?
  • Check out our experts' updated analysis and picks on Toledo-Buffalo, including a reason why a first-half bet warrants your consideration.

Toledo at Buffalo Odds

  • Spread: Buffalo -9.5
  • Over/Under: 54
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN2

Toledo vs. Buffalo Line Movement

Most sportsbooks opened this game at Buffalo -7 but quickly adjusted to -8 as the early money backed the home favorite to cover. At the time of writing, Buffalo is getting a slight majority (52%) of the tickets and money (56%) for this Wednesday night MACtion showdown.

The betting splits on the total are a little more interesting. Despite 91% of the bets taking the Over, the total has not budged from the opener of 54. Most of the bets won’t come in until closer to kickoff, but it’s worth keeping an eye on to see which way this Over/Under starts to move, if any.

Collin Wilson: Will Buffalo Avoid a Second-Half Collapse?

Similar to service academy teams, handicapping Toledo comes down to if the opposing team can stop the run.

The Rockets rank 64th in rushing success but fifth in rush explosiveness, so preventing the big play is key when facing Toledo.

Buffalo has the defense to stop the Rockets. The Bulls rank 26th in defensive rushing success rate, 20th in stopping rushing explosiveness and seventh in line yards.

Toledo is 1-5 Against the Spread (ATS) in its last six road contests, while Buffalo has beat the number in 13 of its last 17 home games. One issue the Bulls have had this season is collapsing in the second half. Recently, the Bulls have squandered leads against Miami of Ohio, Ohio and Kent State.

While Buffalo should be able to stop Toledo, I will be looking to play the first-half spread on the Bulls.

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