Browns vs. Chiefs Odds, Picks & Predictions: Huge Betting Model Edge For Sunday’s NFL Divisional Round Playoff Game

Browns vs. Chiefs Odds, Picks & Predictions: Huge Betting Model Edge For Sunday’s NFL Divisional Round Playoff Game article feature image
Credit:

Justin K. Aller/Getty Images. Pictured: Quarterback Baker Mayfield and Myles Garrett of the Cleveland Browns.

  • The Cleveland Browns are 10-point underdogs against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday in their NFL playoff showdown.
  • In a rare instance, our NFL PRO Report's five value indicators are aligned on this side of Browns-Chiefs game below.

Browns vs. Chiefs Odds

Browns Odds +10
Chiefs Odds -10
Over/Under 57
PRO Projections Chiefs -8 | O/U: 54.9
Time | Channel  3:05 p.m. ET | CBS
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Congratulations, Cleveland Browns fans!

After earning that much-desired playoff win last week against the Pittsburgh Steelers, your reward is a date with the defending Super Bowl champion (and current Super Bowl favorites) Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Browns are currently 10-point underdogs to the Chiefs, which is easily the largest spread of the weekend’s four NFL Divisional Round playoff games, but what does that mean for bettors?

Thanks to our NFL PRO Report, which is lighting up with every … single … value indicator for this game, we know that the smartest way to play Browns vs. Chiefs is via the total.

Let’s take a look.

Browns vs. Chiefs Picks

Sharp Action

Action Labs’ Bet Signals have tracked four separate waves of smart money landing on this under, which is interesting considering the 74% of tickets on the over.

Public bettors expect a higher-scoring game, while sharps have hit the other side multiple times.

Big Money

As I mentioned, more than seven of out every 10 bets on the total has come in on the over, yet the small minority of bettors on the under actually account for 50% of the money — a clear signal regarding where the biggest bets are landing.

PRO Systems

Arrowhead winds are expected to exceed 10 mph, making this game a fit for our High Winds PRO Betting System.

NFL games played in similar conditions have gone under the total 56% of the time since 2003.

Model Projection

Our NFL PRO Projections set Browns vs. Chiefs total at 54.9, which correlates to a 2.7% edge when compared to the market consensus.

It’s not the biggest edge of the NFL weekend, but certainly enough to warrant a wager, especially when combined with the multiple other value indicators pointing toward the under.

Top Experts

Two of The Action Network’s premier NFL betting experts have gotten down on the under as well, providing a clean sweep for the wager from the NFL PRO Report.

PRO Report Pick: Under 57

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