Tuesday’s NHL Betting Odds & Picks (Jan. 21, 2020): Best Bets for Golden Knights vs. Bruins & More
Jeff Bottari/NHLI via Getty Images. Pictured: Keegan Kolesar, Paul Stastny
If you’ve been following along with our hockey coverage at The Action Network, you know that my NHL betting strategy is pretty heavily slanted towards underdogs. Most seasoned hockey bettors would agree with that approach.
Yesterday, the Detroit Red Wings closed as +330 underdogs in Colorado. It may be a flaw, but I almost always show value when a price gets that high in the NHL. The sport is just too volatile and random to look past a price that long; no matter how bad the Red Wings are, they at least warrant a deeper dive at that number.
I’ve been asked a few times this season why, if I’m willing to bet the Red Wings at +335, I wouldn’t want to play them on the puckline, which would give me Detroit +1.5 goals at +140.
It’s a logical question and I wouldn’t discourage anybody from landing on the puckline if they find an edge there, but my reasoning is that if an underdog — especially a big one — plays well enough to keep the game close, wouldn’t you want the extra value on the moneyline?
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Everybody has a different approach to betting, but that’s how I look at it. Plus, ignoring the other derivative markets — pucklines, over/unders, team totals, etc. — over the past two seasons has helped me hone in on what works for me in the NHL, which is playing moneylines (mostly underdogs) at a pretty high volume. That’s why even though I am 55 games under .500 betting (329-384) on the NHL, I’ve still returned 41.3 units since the beginning of last season (current as of Monday).
With that out of the way, let’s take a look at Tuesday night’s five-game slate.
Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins
- Golden Knights odds: +125
- Bruins odds: -145
- Over/Under: 6
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
This could be a potential Stanley Cup preview. There are plenty of other contenders, but the Bruins and Golden Knights are definitely on the shortlist as we approach All-Star Weekend.
On the surface everything checks out with Boston. The B’s have been in first place in the Atlantic Division all season, they have the fourth-best points percentage in the league and they have only allowed 81 goals at 5-on-5 this season (tied for second-fewest).