NHL Betting Previews: Finding Value in Red Wings-Capitals, Canadiens-Wild

Dec 11, 2018 05:50 PM EST
Credit:

Marc DesRosiers, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Max Domi, Carey Price

There are 10 games in the NHL tonight and there are some big prices out there. At the time of writing, there are four teams at +170 or above.

It’s been a good season for big underdogs in the NHL this season. Per Bet Labs (which uses the Pinnacle closing number), underdogs priced at +170 or above have gone 31-43 for (+18.79 units, 25.4% ROI) in 2018-19.

That doesn’t mean you should automatically bet big underdogs as that will definitely regress as the season goes on. In fact, if you blindy bet “big” dogs (+170 or higher) over the past four seasons, you’d be down 59 units.

Anyway, I still think this trend will be worth checking in on as the season progresses because the gap between the league’s “great” teams and its “bad” teams is a lot smaller than the market has been suggesting this season. The good news, as it always is with betting NHL, is that the betting handle still is dwarfed by other sports so the lines aren’t as sharp.

All odds via The Action Network App at 12:30 p.m. ET.
NHL value plays: 26-24, +11.38 units


Detroit Red Wings (+235) at Washington Capitals (-275)

The Red Wings are on a back-to-back and are deservedly big underdogs in Washington tonight.

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