Sharp Action Hitting Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final
Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured (left to right): Ryan Reaves, Devante Smith-Pelly, and Braden Holtby
After splitting the opening tilts in Vegas, the Capitals won their first home game of this series Saturday night to take a 2-1 series lead. They’ve allowed just three goals over the past two games to put Vegas near must-win territory tonight.
Vegas opened +110 for Game 4, which is slightly lower than their Game 3 opener of +121. The Caps were -130 when tonight’s line opened, but as you might expect, sharp bettors have had some say since then.
Earlier this afternoon, sharps came down hard on the Knights, triggering market-wide movement from around +110 to +100.
Plenty of factors are likely contributing to the sharp action, one of which might be the success of road teams these playoffs.
At 43-39, visitors have won 16.4 units this postseason for a 20.1% return on investment. And as John Ewing pointed out earlier today, home teams following a win in the Stanley Cup Playoffs have not been kind to their backers.
Whatever the reason is, it’s clear that wiseguys expect this series to be tied by the end of the evening.