Europa League Quarterfinals Odds, Picks & Predictions: How to Bet Manchester United vs. Granada (Thursday, April 15)
Tottenham Hotspur FC/Tottenham Hotspur FC via Getty Images. Pictured: Victor Lindelof, left, and Paul Pogba of Manchester United.
- Manchester United entertains Granada in the second leg of their Europa League quarterfinal matchup on Thursday at Old Trafford.
- The Red Devils are huge favorites to advance to the semifinals after earning a 2-0 win against the Nasrids in the opening leg.
- Matt Trebby breaks down this contest below and explains why he gives the Spanish visitors no chance of advancing against the Premier League giants.
Manchester United vs. Granada Odds
|Manchester United Odds||-200|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-114 / -107)|
|Day | Time||Thursday | 3 p.m. ET|
|Odds updated Thursday afternoon and via DraftKings.|
If you like free-flowing, entertaining soccer, then the first leg of Granada versus Manchester United was not the game for you.
The Red Devils had a job to do in Spain, and they painstakingly got it done. The result was a 2-0 victory, which was sealed thanks to a Bruno Fernandes penalty late on. That means it’s all but certain now Manchester United will be playing in another European tournament semifinal.
However, there are still 90 minutes to be played, so let’s see where bettors can benefit from the second leg of this Europa League quarterfinal matchup.
Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s men got the job done in Spain in the Europa League again. After beating Real Sociedad via a 4-0 rout in the first leg of the Round of 32 matchup, the win at Granada was expected.
The performance wasn’t necessarily what the Red Devils would have hoped for, though. Manchester United won the battle of expected goals (xG) through a 2.0-0.3 margin, according to FBref.com, and a large chunk of that came from Fernandes’ late spot kick.
Manchester United is on a good run of form as of late. The Red Devils have won six of their last eight games across all competitions, with the lone defeat coming in the FA Cup against Leicester City. They’ve won four in a row in the Premier League, including last weekend’s impressive 3-1 road win against Tottenham Hotspur.
Solskjær’s team has conceded at least 1.0 xG in its last two league games against Spurs and Brighton & Hove Albion, but Granada is nowhere near as good as either of those clubs.
Somehow, the Nasrids enter this game sitting eighth in the La Liga table. They have a minus-14 goal difference and their -11.1 xGDiff is fifth worst in the Spanish top flight.
Granada beat Real Valladolid this past weekend, thanks to late goals from Jorge Molina and Quini. Leading scorer Roberto Soldado was absent, which would normally be a concern, but he’s not very good in my opinion.
Prior to that win, Granada had lost four consecutive games to Molde and Manchester United in the Europa League, and Valenca and Villarreal in league play. The Nasrids never keep much of the ball, only creating more than 0.9 xG in just one of those games, and that was 1.8 against Valencia in a match that saw them shut out.
Betting Analysis & Pick
I have no idea how this is the case, but Granada under 0.5 goals is currently at a plus number on DraftKings. It apparently thinks it’s more likely the Spanish team that is playing about as well as Burnley or Newcastle United — probably worse, but I’m a generous guy — is going to go into Old Trafford and score.
Well, I like free money and hope you do as well. We’re not going to ask any questions and take that bet at +100 odds. It was at +107 on Tuesday, so expect the number to keep decreasing in value as kickoff approaches.
Pick: Granada — Under 0.5 Goals (+100)
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