Fulham (0-0-2) and Chelsea (1-0-1) will face off today at 7:30 a.m. EDT at Stamford Bridge in London, England.
Chelsea is favored at a -190 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-150o / +120u) goals.
Let's get into my Fulham vs. Chelsea prediction.
Fulham vs. Chelsea Prediction
Pick: Joao Pedro to Score or Assist
My Fulham vs. Chelsea best bet is on Joao Pedro to score or assist in this match.
Fulham vs. Chelsea Odds
| Fulham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -110 | 2.5 -150o / 120u | +500 |
| Chelsea Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -125 | 2.5 -150o / 120u | -190 |
Fulham vs. Chelsea Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Joao Pedro to Score or Assist (-125)
Leg 2: Over 2.75 Goals Asian Line (-118)
Leg 3: Match – Under 27.5 Shots (-125)
One player to keep an eye on will be Joao Pedro, who scored and assisted against West Ham in Chelsea’s most recent fixture.
With Cole Palmer still out due to injury, if there are to be goals in this game, which our in-house data projection model, BETSiE, suggests will be (2.93xG), there’s a good chance Joao Pedro will be involved.
Chelsea currently boasts the highest expected goals (xG) numbers in the Premier League, scoring five goals from an xG of 4.3 and creating nine big chances, more than any other team, despite missing four.
Meanwhile, Fulham have struggled defensively on the road, failing to keep a clean sheet away since January 2025 (2-0 win over Leicester).
Despite conceding only twice this season against Brighton and Manchester United, Fulham's xGA (expected goals against) is 3.1, the sixth highest in the league.
However, under Enzo Maresca, the Blues are patient when they have the ball, and that may affect the total number of shots. Chelsea had an average of 65% possession across their two matches so far, the most in the division. They are also reluctant to shoot from a distance.
Under 27.5 shots has been a winning bet in both of Fulham’s matches. The most recent meeting between these sides in April saw just 19 attempts.
In fact, this selection has been successful in four of the last five matches between Chelsea and Fulham, with an average of 23.8 shots per game.
Fulham vs. Chelsea Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Fulham | Draw | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 17.3% | 18.8% | 64% |
Projected Total Goals
| Fulham | Total Goals | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | 2.93 | 2.01 |
Fulham vs. Chelsea Betting Analysis
Even at this early stage of the season, Chelsea needs a win. The title challengers have set a remarkable pace in recent campaigns, and the Blues cannot afford too many early slip-ups if they are to keep pace.
Under Enzo Maresca, Chelsea is a possession-hungry team, but Fulham are adept at packing the midfield in their mid-block, making them difficult to play through.
Last season, Marco Silva’s team ranked in the middle of the pack for both defensive line height and passes allowed per defensive action (PPDA). While they will allow the home side to knock the ball around in deeper areas, avoiding being camped in their own defensive third is of paramount importance.
We should see plenty of chances in this game, particularly for the home side.
The Asian goal line is set at Over/Under 2.75 goals at Stamford Bridge. The two 2-1 results in the head-to-head fixtures last season would have both returned half a profit to bettors with three goals scored.
Four goals scored will return full profits on the 2.75 Asian goal line.
Fulham vs. Chelsea Projected Starting Lineups
Fulham
Leno; Tete, Bassey, Andersen, Sessegnon; Lukic, Berge, Josh King; Wilson, Iwobi, Muniz.
Chelsea
Sanchez; James, Chalobah, Adarabioyo, Cucurella; Fernandez, Caicedo, Joao Pedro; Estevao, Neto, Delap.
