Wednesday’s World Cup action starts off with a very popular bet, Portugal, taking on Morocco followed by Uruguay-Saudi Arabia then Iran-Spain.
Here’s a breakdown of the market for each match and which sides the sharps/public are betting.
Portugal vs. Morocco, Group B
8 a.m. ET
Public bettors have absolutely no faith in Morocco getting a result here as they’re receiving just 7% of tickets to win (+557) and 5% to draw (+280).
Portugal is attracting a whopping 88% of bets but the line has come down from -186 to -153, indicating a bit of sharp money on Morocco/Draw.
Tuesday’s results were great for contrarian bettors as Japan (11%), Senegal (19%) and Russia (41%) were all victorious, and they’ll hope to continue the run Wednesday. Many of the favorites have struggled so far this tournament but bettors still believe in them since there’s so much at stake in the second round of group matches.
Morocco has also been receiving just 11% of spread bets (both +0.5 goals and +1 goals), so that’s another contrarian option to wager on.
Uruguay vs. Saudi Arabia, Group A
11 a.m. ET
Uruguay (-530) are on track to be the biggest favorites in the group stage and 67% of bettors think they’ll roll over Saudi Arabia just like Russia did. If you think there’s a shocking upset in the cards, a Saudi Arabia win pays out 20-1 and a draw +640.
Public bettors are actually leaning on the under but the total has moved from 2.5 to 3, so the over looks to be the bet here.
Iran vs. Spain, Group B
2 p.m. ET
Iran are alone at the top of Group B but they find themselves with just about the same odds to beat Spain as Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay. Just under 30% of bets are taking a chance on the longshot at 19-1, but those odds may be even higher by game time if Portugal beats Morocco early in the day.
Goals are expected in this one as well, and the juice has trended toward the over on a few separate occasions. It currently sits at 2.5 (o-123) but possibly may reach 3.
This may be a timely opportunity to parlay Uruguay and Spain together at -225 odds.