Nottingham Forest (5-12-3) and West Ham United (3-12-5) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at London Stadium in London, England.
Let's get into my Nottingham vs. West Ham prediction.
Nottingham is favored at a +127 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-110o / -115u) goals.
Nottingham vs. West Ham Prediction
Pick: Nottingham Forest to Win
My Nottingham vs. West Ham best bet is for Nottingham Forest to win.
Nottingham vs. West Ham Odds
| Nottingham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +120 | 2.5 -110o / -115u | +127 |
| West Ham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -175 | 2.5 -110o / -115u | +210 |
Nottingham vs. West Ham Parlay Picks
Leg 1: Nottingham Forest to Win
Leg 2: Under 3.5 Total Goals
West Ham grabbed headlines with their disastrous performance against Wolves, losing 3-0. Nuno Espirito Santo’s side failed to have a single shot on target and finished the game with an xG (expected goals) of just 0.25.
A distinct lack of creativity from the home side means that it is difficult to back them here, so we are tipping Nottingham Forest to win. West Ham have had a lower xG than their opponents in eight of their last 10 matches.
West Ham have the second-highest xGA (expected goals against) in the league with 34.93. They have also struggled going forward, with only four teams scoring fewer Premier League goals.
Nottingham Forest have lost their last four matches, but two of those defeats came against teams in the league’s top three. Moreover, Forest have secured some impressive wins under Sean Dyche, beating the likes of Liverpool and Tottenham, so they should have the edge here.
Nottingham Forest ran out 2-1 victors in this fixture last season. Forest were beaten 3-0 by West Ham earlier in the season, but things have gone from bad to worse for the Hammers since then.
The Nottingham Forest or Draw & Under 3.5 Goals in our West Ham vs Forest predictions combines two angles that align with West Ham’s current form.
Nuno Espírito Santo’s fragile West Ham side are winless in nine league matches, losing five, and were really poor in the 3-0 defeat to Wolves – failing to register a single shot on target and posting just 0.25 xG. Across their last ten matches, West Ham have generated a lower expected goals figure than their opponents in eight, while also carrying the second-worst xGA in the division.
Forest arrive on a four-game losing run, but context matters. Two of those defeats came against sides in the top three, and Sean Dyche’s team has already shown a high ceiling with standout 3-0 wins over Liverpool and Tottenham.
With West Ham blunt going forward and Forest failing to score in 10 of 20 league games, a relatively tight contest is likely. Forest or Draw & Under 3.5 Goals covers a low-scoring game in which the visitors’ organisation and resilience are enough to avoid defeat.
Nottingham vs. West Ham Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Nottingham | Draw | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| 40.9% | 25.9% | 33.3% |
Projected Total Goals
| Nottingham | Total Goals | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | 2.57 | 1.20 |
Nottingham vs. West Ham Betting Analysis
West Ham committed plenty of players to the counter-attack in their last home game against Brighton, and created four big chances on their way to a 2-2 draw. They face a Nottingham Forest side that have conceded 1.65 goals per league game this season, so we can expect Nuno Espirito Santo’s side to display attacking intent.
The magnitude of this fixture means we should also see plenty of fouls and cards. Both West Ham and Nottingham Forest matches rank above the Premier League average in terms of fouls. Moreover, there were nine cards when these teams went head-to-head at this ground last season, but this time, both are battling relegation.
West Ham allows the fourth-most passes per defensive action in the Premier League. Nuno Espirito Santo enjoyed success at Nottingham Forest, with his team being passive out of possession and making the most of counter-attacking opportunities. They will look to adopt a similar approach here, but Forest are unlikely to overcommit when they have longer periods of possession.
Sean Dyche's teams have a reputation for being a threat from set pieces, but Nottingham Forest have scored just four goals from these situations in the Premier League this season; only Liverpool and Wolves have netted fewer. However, West Ham have conceded more set-piece goals than any other side.
