Chelsea (8-5-7) and Fulham (8-8-4) will face off today at 2:30 p.m. EST at Craven Cottage in London.
Let's get into my Chelsea vs. Fulham prediction.
Chelsea is favored at a price of 47 cents, with the over/under set at 2.5 goals.
Fulham vs. Chelsea Prediction
Pick: Chelsea to Win
My Chelsea vs. Fulham best bet is for Chelsea to win, but we'll also back both teams to score.
Fulham vs. Chelsea Odds
Fulham vs. Chelsea Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Chelsea to Win
Leg 2: Both Teams to Win
While Chelsea enters this match as the favorite, their recent defensive record suggests a clean sheet is unlikely, which creates value. Fulham has been formidable at home this season. The Cottagers have scored in nine of their 10 Premier League matches at Craven Cottage, with Arsenal—the league’s top defense—the only side to shut them out on their home turf. On average, Fulham nets 1.7 goals per game at their stadium. This offensive consistency makes them a strong candidate to score.
However, Fulham has struggled when facing the league's elite. In four home matches against teams in the top six, Marco Silva's squad failed to secure a win and conceded an average of 2.25 goals. This trend supports the case for a Chelsea victory.
Chelsea, for their part, has had no trouble scoring on the road, where they average 1.8 goals per game. Their issue has been on the other end of the field, where they concede an average of 1.1 goals away from home. The "Both Teams to Score" outcome has hit in 12 of Chelsea's 20 league fixtures this season. Given Fulham’s potent home attack and Chelsea's defensive lapses, backing a Blues win with both teams on the scoreboard presents a compelling angle.
Fulham vs. Chelsea Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Chelsea | Draw | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | 24.3% | 27.4% |
Projected Total Goals
| Chelsea | Total Goals | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | 1.74 | 1.17 |
Fulham vs. Chelsea Betting Analysis
The tactical battle in this matchup heavily favors the visitors. Chelsea employs one of the most effective presses in the Premier League, allowing opponents the fewest passes per defensive action in the entire league. In contrast, Fulham takes a more passive defensive approach. This disparity suggests Chelsea will likely dominate possession and control the tempo of the game, much like they did in last season's 2-1 victory at this venue when they held 59% of the ball.
Despite Chelsea's expected control, they must remain aware of Fulham's ability to strike from a distance and on the counter. Players like Harry Wilson have shown they can change a game with a single long-range shot.
Historically, this has been a one-sided rivalry. Chelsea has won 11 of the last 14 Premier League contests against Fulham, including a 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. The Blues have established a clear dominance over their London neighbors. However, it is worth a note that Fulham has earned two wins against Chelsea since their return to the top flight in 2022, a better record than in their previous 19 encounters combined. This recent success, though limited, shows Fulham is capable of challenging their more decorated opponents.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Chelsea vs Fulham picks.
