I should probably submit Tuesday’s Cuevas-Verdasco match to guys who run the “Moose Tracker” column on Action Network. Man, that was a bad beat. Cuevas was up a set and 5-3 — with two match points on Verdasco’s serve at 15-40 (and then another at ad-out.) Then, he entered what I like to call “nightmare mode,” broken twice trying to serve for the match in the second set. He then predictably was ethered in the decider 6-1, as he dealt with what looked like a leg “injury” of sorts.
As a wise man once told me, though, you gotta “shake that s**t off,” so shake we will. With a full slate of tennis tomorrow in Monte Carlo, there’s hardly any time to lament, anyways. Action will kick off shortly after 5 a.m. ET — with three decent early-matches (Roberto Bautista-Agut – Feli Lopez, Karen Khachanov – Gillou Simon, and Daniil Medvedev – Kei Nishikori). Again, prepare for an early morning (or late night).
Aside from Wednesday’s hitter, which I’ll get to shortly, I see a few underdogs with value worth considering. Verdasco, who took Tuesday’s hitter out, looked impressive as the match progressed. He can test Marin Cilic in the Croat’s first clay match of the season. Verdasco already upset one giant this year on the clay — Domi Thiem — and usually plays his best tennis on the big stage. At a price of +200, if you’re feeling lucky, Verdasco — who has defeated Cilic five times (including their most recent encounter on clay, back in Madrid 2015) — is a decent option.
I also had my eyes on Guillermo García López at +140 against Andreas Seppi, who came through Kyle Edmund today. Oddsmakers are giving the Italian a bit too much credit on the dirt against GGL, a clay court “specialist” of sorts throughout his career. However, with the H2H heavily in Seppi’s favor (5-1 to the Italian, including 2-0 on clay), I’m going to hold off. My gut does say GGL will have a very good chance in this one though. Definitely value with GGL and the over.