Djokovic vs Fritz Prediction, Pick, Odds for US Open Quarterfinals

Djokovic vs Fritz Prediction, Pick, Odds for US Open Quarterfinals article feature image
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Taylor Fritz and Novak Djokovic (Imagn Images)

Novak Djokovic and Taylor Fritz square off in the quarterfinals of the US Open on Tuesday, September 2. The match will tentatively start at 8:10 p.m. and will be broadcast on ESPN.

Find my US Open preview and Djokovic vs Fritz prediction for Tuesday below.

Quickslip

Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

  • Djokovic vs Fritz Pick: Over 41.5

My Djokovic vs Fritz best bet is on Over 41.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live US Open odds page.

Djokovic vs Fritz Odds

Novak Djokovic Odds-175
Taylor Fritz Odds+135
Over/Under41.5 (-110 / -120)
Djokovic-Fritz H2H10-0
Time | How to WatchTuesday, 8:10 p.m. ET | ESPN
Odds via DraftKings. For tips on how to watch US Open tennis, click here.

Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritz Preview, Prediction

Djokovic Betting Preview

Novak Djokovic played arguably his best tennis in the round of 16, dismantling Jan-Lennard Struff in straight sets and conceding just eight games.

However, his run to this stage hasn't been particularly inspired as he's dropped sets to Zachary Svajda, Cameron Norrie, and even looked vulnerable at times against Learner Tien in the first round. Djokovic has also had to deal with physical issues and has required the services of the physio in all four matches thus far.

Djokovic's win over Struff made him the oldest man to reach the quarterfinals at all four majors in a single season, but I have doubts about how he's been tested so far.

Djokovic's chase for a 25th Grand Slam has kept him waiting, and while he's never lost a hard-court quarterfinal matchup in a Grand Slam since dropping out of the 2014 Australian Open against Stan Wawrinka, you have to wonder how much is left in the tank.

Fritz Betting Preview

It was a similarly bumpy ride for Taylor Fritz, who dropped two sets he arguably shouldn't have against Jerome Kym and Lloyd Harris. Still, the American looked to take a step forward in his round-of-16 matchup. He hit 14 aces and did not face a single break point as he cruised past Czech up-and-comer Tomas Machac in straight sets.

Fritz has been incredible on the offensive so far this tournament. He's racked up 62 aces and is averaging 52 winners per game. When on point, that has made him a menace on the fast courts in New York. However, that should hardly come as a surprise as the American is 25-8 on the year on hard courts and has won 90% of his service games on that surface.

The barrier to surmount when it comes to Fritz is the mental one. He's 0-10 against Djokovic, and has only taken three sets from the Serb across his career. However, they're yet to meet this year, and their last meeting, in the semifinals of the Shanghai Masters 1000, was much closer than Fritz is given credit for.

Djokovic vs Fritz Predictions, Betting Analysis

It's a battle of body against mind in this one. Djokovic has the experience, the mentality and the desire, but may ultimately fall victim to his body slowly breaking down. Fritz, 27, is playing perhaps his best tennis ever and is aiming for a second consecutive major semifinals, but has a massive mental slump to overcome when facing Djokovic.

Every edge will count, and while Djokovic has certainly sweetened his relationship with the New York crowd, he's likely to be the villain once again against the last-standing American.

Moreover, Djokovic has been broken at every match he's played in this tournament, a stat that doesn't bode well against a powerful server who has won 90% of the points he's played with his serve on a hard court this year.

While I don't think Fritz ever had a chance against peak Djokovic, both players have changed since their last meeting. The American will be a true test for Djokovic, and I expect this to be a grind for whoever emerges victorious.

Pick: Over 41.5 (-110)

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