Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova square off in the first round of the US Open on Saturday, September 6. The match will start at 4 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on ESPN.
Find my US Open First Round preview and Sabalenka vs Anisimova prediction for Saturday below.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova Prediction
- Sabalenka vs Anisimova Pick: Over 7.5 Aces
My Sabalenka vs Anisimova best bet is on the over for aces. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live French Open odds page.
Sabalenka vs Anisimova Odds
Aryna Sabalenka Odds | -200 |
Amanda Anisimova Odds | +160 |
Over/Under | 22.5 (-110 / -125) |
Sabalenka-Anisimova H2H | 3-6 |
Time | How to Watch | Saturday, 4 p.m. ET | ESPN |
Odds via DraftKings. For tips on how to watch US Open tennis, click here. |
Sabalenka vs Anisimova Preview, Prediction
Aryna Sabalenka Betting Preview
Sabalenka is the dominant force in women’s tennis, which is especially visible in her Grand Slam results. This season, she's reached at least the semifinals in all four Grand Slams, and this is her third final.
Those statistics are impressive and shouldn’t be overlooked, even if she hasn’t won a title during that span.
Such consistency hasn’t been seen since Serena Williams, which is why she fully deserves the world No. 1 spot.
Her strengths are numerous. First, we must talk about her mentality, as she's very strong in this area and is difficult to distract. She does have volcanic moments on court — both strongly positive and deeply negative — but she can instantly regain focus.
Overall, she has only three Grand Slam titles (two at the Australian Open and one in New York), which seems a bit disappointing. But she came close multiple times without success.
As for her game, it's complete. She's very aggressive and serves powerfully, but she's also learned to control her shots, which in the past, has led to many unforced errors.
Her margin for error is higher, so she rarely makes easy mistakes. There are exceptions — like the Roland Garros final — though conditions were very windy there.
Her return is excellent, as she applies pressure right from the first ball, leaving opponents little time to regroup.
Last season was very solid, especially with her Grand Slam titles at the Australian Open and at the US Open. She also had many strong results, finishing the year ranked No. 1.
This season isn't weak at all. On the contrary, she hasn’t yet won a Grand Slam, and that weighs heavily, adding extra pressure.
At the Australian Open, she lost a dramatic final to Madison Keys, at Roland Garros she played a very poor final against Coco Gauff and at Wimbledon, she was defeated in the semifinals by Sabalenka.
Even so, her consistency is remarkable, and she's won titles in Brisbane, Miami and Madrid.
In this event, Sabalenka hasn’t dazzled, but she hasn't been poor either. She had tough sets against Polina Kudermetova and Leylah Fernandez, and in the semifinals, she struggled badly with Jessica Pegula, scraping through with some luck.
In the decisive set, Pegula lost only four points on serve and had four break points, which were all saved by Sabalenka. She proved her mental strength and showed her courage in key moments, which brought her success.
Amanda Anisimova Betting Preview
Anisimova deserves her place in the top 10, and I believe she'll stay there for a long time. She may not be the most consistent player, and she'll likely still have ups and downs, but she's shown she can battle anyone on equal terms and even win Grand Slam trophies.
So far she has none, but in the future — even possibly on Saturday — she could. She's getting more comfortable on the big stages, managing difficult moments better and better, which leads to success.
She might have been considered a top player long ago if not for personal struggles. She took a break from tennis due to burnout, admitting it was hard to continue competing, compounded by the death of her father. Later, she also suffered injuries that stalled her progress.
Now things seem to be moving in a positive direction, so her future looks bright.
In terms of her game, she has an incredible backhand — considered by some experts to be the best on tour. She's aggressive, likes to take initiative and has a reliable serve.
Being relatively young, she can still develop her game further, making her a real threat on fast courts in the years to come.
Last season was average for her, including a fourth-round run at the Australian Open and then a final in Toronto — her best tournament of the year. She didn’t impress at the end of the season, but she also skipped many events.
This new season has been significantly better, highlighted by her Wimbledon final. She lost 0-6 0-6 to Iga Swiatek, a hard-to-digest scoreline, but the run itself was strong.
She also won an important title in Doha and reached the final on grass at Queen's.
On hard courts this summer, she perform too well, losing in the fourth round in Montreal to Elina Svitolina and in the third round in Cincinnati to Anna Kalinskaya, both in straight sets.
In New York, however, Anisimova has looked much better. Most impressive was her quarterfinal win over Swiatek. Overcoming the trauma of that Wimbledon final and facing her demons, she stayed composed and strong.
Her semifinal victory over Naomi Osaka was also impressive, a long and dramatic match in which she came back from a set down.
The only question is her physical recovery. Still, playing at home, with the whole stadium behind her, she should deliver a strong performance.
Sabalenka vs Anisimova Predictions, Betting Analysis
Sabalenka will be extremely motivated to win her first Grand Slam of the year. She came very close in the other three (two finals), but each time she struggled to cross the finish line.
In this match, she'll look ultra-motivated while carrying a lot of pressure. She's aggressive by nature, and her serve is a major weapon. She produces aces, including six against Fernandez, three against Cristina Bucsa and eight against Pegula.
Anisimova lost her first Grand Slam final 0-6 0-6, but this time, the scenario looks different. She seems more stable, more effective in key moments and will also have the crowd behind her. It’s possible she'll take at least one set.
She also has an effective serve that produces aces. She hit five against Beatriz Haddad Maia, three against Swiatek and seven against Osaka.
Therefore, I expect over 7.5 aces in the match, and my prediction goes in this direction.
Pick: Over 7.5 Aces