2022 BMW Championship Picks, Predictions: Tony Finau, Jon Rahm Enter With Strong Form

2022 BMW Championship Picks, Predictions: Tony Finau, Jon Rahm Enter With Strong Form article feature image

(Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) Pictured: Tony Finau.

Click arrow to expand 2022 BMW Championship odds via BetMGM

2022 BMW Championship Odds

Rory McIlroy+1000
Jon Rahm+1200
Matt Fitzpatrick+1400
Patrick Cantlay+1400
Tony Finau+1400
Will Zalatoris+1400
Justin Thomas+1600
Scottie Scheffler+1800
Collin Morikawa+2000
Xander Schauffele+2000
Sam Burns+2500
Sungjae Im+2500
Cameron Young+2800
Joohyung Kim+2800
Viktor Hovland+2800
Joaquin Niemann+3300
Jordan Spieth+4000
Shane Lowry+4000
Aaron Wise+4000
Adam Scott+5000
Brian Harman+5000
Corey Conners+5000
Hideki Matsuyama+5000
Max Homa+5000
Tyrrell Hatton+5000
Billy Horschel+6600
Cam Davis+6600
Russell Henley+6600
Davis Riley+8000
Denny McCarthy+8000
J.T. Poston+8000
Keith Mitchell+8000
Sahith Theegala+8000
Si Woo Kim+8000
Taylor Pendrith+8000
Andrew Putnam+10000
Harold Varner III+10000
Keegan Bradley+10000
Kevin Kisner+10000
Maverick McNealy+10000
Mito Pereira+10000
Sebastian Munoz+10000
Chris Kirk+12500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+12500
Emiliano Grillo+12500
K.H. Lee+12500
Lucas Glover+12500
Scott Stallings+12500
Seamus Power+12500
Taylor Moore+12500
Trey Mullinax+12500
Troy Merritt+12500
Wyndham Clark+12500
Adam Hadwin+15000
Alex Noren+15000
Alex Smalley+15000
Brendan Steele+15000
Cameron Tringale+15000
Chez Reavie+15000
J.J. Spaun+15000
Marc Leishman+15000
Sepp Straka+15000
Tom Hoge+15000
Lucas Herbert+20000
Luke List+20000
Matt Kuchar+20000
Kurt Kitayama+25000
Mackenzie Hughes+25000
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The finish on Sunday at the FedEx St. Jude Championship was nothing short of spectacular. Will Zalatoris and Sepp Straka went toe to toe across three playoff holes to decide a winner. It wasn't the best golf of the week, but it was certainly full of drama. Ultimately, Zalatoris closed out his first win on TOUR with a bogey on the par-3 11th after both players were forced to drop from the penalty area to the right of the green.

Zalatoris moves into the top spot of the FedEx Cup Rankings as the top 70 players head to Wilmington, Del., for the second playoff event, the BMW Championship. Wilmington Country Club will be the host course and it will be its first time hosting a PGA tournament.

We will have to take a look and analyze things on the fly without concrete data to figure out the players who will fit. The only correlation I see on the surface is that this 7,534-yard par-71 is only matched by those standard at Quail Hollow. Certainly it seems that length will be a factor and, as always, I'll be looking for some good form heading into the odds drop on Monday morning.

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BMW Championship Picks

Jon Rahm

Looking at the distance of this track — along with the fairway bunkering and rough length — I am going to try to target some guys who have a combination of length and accuracy off the tee.

Jon Rahm has always been that type of driver of the golf ball, and he seems to be finding some form late in the season. He posted four rounds in the 60s at the FedEx St Jude Championship and ranked third in the field in SG: Tee-to-Green.

Rahm was around +2000 going into Memphis and if we can get something around that number again this week at any book, I'll be really interested to jump in on the former No. 1 player in the world.

Tony Finau

Even with the win from Zalatoris, the hottest player in the world continues to be Tony Finau. He came in off of back-to-back victories and added a T5 in Memphis, where he was right around the leaders throughout the week. Finau also posted four rounds under par at TPC Southwind and I'll be looking to ride that hot form into Delaware.

Finau is another player who long off the tee and accurate when at his best, which I think can set him up for another week in contention. He continues to be in that tier in the mid-20s in odds and that is looking like a number that will get my interest to start the week.

Aaron Wise

If I am looking for a longer shot player to contend in Wilmington, I'll start my list with Aaron Wise. He ranked 13th on approach last week in Memphis and was solid in both aspects of his ball striking.

We know Wise is a complete player tee to green, ranking 53rd or better in each of those metrics this year. It continues to come down to the putter for Wise and those are the types of guys I am willing to take shots on at longer numbers with the hope we catch him on a good putting week.

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