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2022 Valspar Championship Betting Preview: Odds & 5 Outright Picks, Including Harold Varner III

2022 Valspar Championship Betting Preview: Odds & 5 Outright Picks, Including Harold Varner III article feature image
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David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Harold Varner III.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Valspar Championship odds via PointsBet

2022 Valspar Championship Odds

Golfer Odds
Justin Thomas +1000
Viktor Hovland +1000
Collin Morikawa +1200
Dustin Johnson +1600
Xander Schauffele +2000
Louis Oosthuizen +2200
Sam Burns +2200
Tyrrell Hatton +2200
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2500
Shane Lowry +2500
Abraham Ancer +3000
Brooks Koepka +3500
Jason Kokrak +3500
Gary Woodland +4000
Keegan Bradley +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Alexander Noren +5000
Bubba Watson +5000
Jason Day +5000
Webb Simpson +5000
Adam Hadwin +6000
Cameron Tringale +6000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6000
Kevin Kisner +6000
Russell Knox +6000
Brian Harman +7000
Harold Varner III +7000
Mackenzie Hughes +7000
Aaron Wise +7500
Denny McCarthy +8000
Bernd Wiesberger +9000
Francesco Molinari +10000
Jhonattan Vegas +10000
Lanto Griffin +10000
Matthias Schwab +10000
Mito Guillermo Pereira +10000
Adam Svensson +12500
Charley Hoffman +12500
Cheng-Tsung Pan +12500
Davis Riley +12500
Doc Redman +12500
Kevin Streelman +12500
Patton Kizzire +12500
Alex Smalley +15000
Branden Grace +15000
Brendon Todd +15000
Carlos Ortiz +15000
Danny Willett +15000
Emiliano Grillo +15000
Joel Dahmen +15000
Martin Kaymer +15000
Martin Laird +15000
Matt Kuchar +15000
Nick Taylor +15000
Pat Perez +15000
Sahith Theegala +15000
Sam Ryder +15000
Scott Stallings +15000
Taylor Moore +15000
Troy Merritt +15000
Zach Johnson +15000
Adam Long +20000
Andrew D. Putnam +20000
Brian Stuard +20000
Chad Ramey +20000
Chez Reavie +20000
Graeme McDowell +20000
Greyson Sigg +20000
Lee Hodges +20000
Matthew NeSmith +20000
Michael Thompson +20000
Nate Lashley +20000
Stewart Cink +20000
Vaughn Taylor +20000
Wyndham Clark +20000
John Huh +20000
David Lipsky +20000
Adam Schenk +25000
Danny Lee +25000
Hank Lebioda +25000
Hayden Buckley +25000
Henrik Stenson +25000
J. J. Spaun +25000
JT Poston +25000
Kramer Hickok +25000
Kyle Stanley +25000
Matt Wallace +25000
Sean O’Hair +25000
Sung Kang +25000
Trey Mullinax +25000
Vincent Whaley +25000
Austin Smotherman +25000
Andrew Landry +30000
Cameron Percy +30000
Charl Schwartzel +30000
Harry Higgs +30000
Jim Herman +30000
Joseph Bramlett +30000
Peter Malnati +30000
Ryan Brehm +30000
Stephan Jaeger +30000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +30000
Blake Kennedy +30000
Andrew McCain +30000
Andrew Novak +30000
Kurt Kitayama +30000
Bronson Burgoon +30000
Bill Haas +35000
Brandon Wu +35000
Chun-an Yu, +35000
Henrik Norlander +35000
James Hahn +35000
Luke Donald +35000
Scott Piercy +35000
Tyler Duncan +35000
Brice Garnett +40000
Callum Tarren +40000
Chesson Hadley +40000
Jimmy Walker +40000
Max McGreevy +40000
Roger Sloan +40000
Wesley Bryan +40000
Dylan Wu +40000
Brandon Hagy +50000
Brian Gay +50000
Curtis Thompson +50000
Davis Love III +50000
Jonas Blixt +50000
Kelly Kraft +50000
Mark Hensby +50000
Martin Trainer +50000
Omar Uresti +50000
Richy Werenski +50000
Robert Streb +50000
Seung-yul Noh +50000
Tommy Gainey +50000
William McGirt +50000
Luke Guthrie +50000
Paul Barjon +50000
Seth Reeves +50000
Alex Fitzpatrick +50000
Greg Koch +50000
Jackson Suber +50000
Austin Cook +50000
Bet the Valspar Championship at PointsBet, get $250 FREE.

After a long week at The PLAYERS, there’s not really much to report. There were a few top-five chances that slid away late on Sunday and the live add of Viktor Hovland held a share of the lead for a brief moment. Overall, none of the picks really threatened Cameron Smith.

Now we’ll go on to the Valspar Championship, for which the question main question is who will actually show up this week after a grueling five days at TPC Sawgrass.

The Course

Innisbrook’s Copperhead Course checks in at around 7,340 yards for a par 71. It is one of the rare TOUR stops that features five par 3s, so there’s an added emphasis on par-3 scoring, as well as how players handle their approaches from over 200 yards.

Copperhead is also known for its tough three-hole closing stretch, known as
“The Snake Pit,” which plays over par. Don’t be surprised if one of the leaders blows a lead coming down the stretch.

A difficult combination of tree-lined fairways, tricky rough and multiple doglegs means that bombers can’t come and overpower this course. Instead, Copperhead is one of a few places left that requires precision over power.

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The Favorites

After a long week at Sawgrass and the potential of seven rounds looming next week at the WGC Match Play event, it’s probably not likely that we’ll see all these guys tee it up Thursday. We’ll take a look at this top of the board as it opened on Monday night, though.

Justin Thomas starts as the favorite here at +900. He’s finished inside the top 20 in three of his four starts, but hasn’t really contended yet.

Colin Morikawa and Viktor Hovland are next in line at +1100. Hovland finished third here last year, although it was really a two-horse race with Sam Burns and Keegan Bradley. Morikawa is set to make his debut on a course the should fit his eye quite well.

Dustin Johnson and Xander Schauffele come in next at +1400. Johnson was sixth here in 2019 and entered that Sunday in the final group, but a final round 74 saw him slide down the board a touch. He was in much better form then, however, entering with two wins in five starts. Schauffele will make his first start here and had been playing rather well before can’t the blunt end of the weather draw last week.

A handful of interesting players enter in the +2000s range, including Paul Casey, Shane Lowry, Louis Oosthuizen, Brooks Koepka and Tyrell Hatton.

Of the group, Casey will garner plenty of attention. He’s won twice here and is coming off a stellar week at The PLAYERS. Hatton will also catch some eyes. He’s only played here once and missed the cut, but has four top 20s world wide in his last five starts.

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The Mid-Tier

We’ll take a stab here with Keegan Bradley at +6000 on bet365. Bradley was second a year ago, and hung tough with a bad draw at Sawgrass. In classic Keegan fashion, the ball striking was complete dialed in and an average short game allowed him to finish near the top of the board.

I’ll go back to my card last week again here with Alex Noren at +6600 at PointsBet. Noren had a decent week at Sawgrass, finishing 26th, and he was 21st in his debut here last year. In that first appearance, the ball striking wasn’t nearly in the shape it’s in now, but he putted really well. Hopefully, the greens will be to his liking again and the iron play can carry over for one more week.

I’ll also go with Gary Woodland at +7000 at bet365. Woodland was on the card at last week and missed the cut, but I’ll go back to him here. He’s won here before, albeit 11 years ago. Outside of the win, the history is checkered, but the form was good heading into last week and I’ll try him again here at a similar number in a much weaker field.

I’ll try Harold Varner III here at +8000 on PointsBet. Varner hasn’t done much on this course, but he played really well at the PLAYERS, gaining strokes in each category. He’s also won recently in Saudi Arabia, as well, which may help calm some of the nerves we’ve seen in the past from him when he’s got into contention.

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The Longshots

This has been a spot for a few off-the-radar type players in the past, and I’ll go with Mito Periera here at 150-1 at BetMGM. Periera has slid down the board into a more playable price range for me.

The ball striking is there, but he’s had bit of a struggle putting on Bermuda in his first full year on tour. It’s still too early to fade him for that reason and last fall he had good results putting at the RSM and Houston, so I’ll go with him as the longshot while the ball striking is still in solid shape.

The Valspar Card

  • Keegan Bradley +6000
  • Alex Noren +6600
  • Gary Woodland +7000
  • Harold Varner III +8000
  • Mito Pereira +15000

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