Northern Trust Weekend Picks: Value on Matthew Wolff, Brian Harman & Bubba Watson

Credit:

Ben Jared/PGA TOUR via Getty Images. Pictured: Bubba Watson.

We often see players catch a hot putter throughout the first two rounds of a golf tournament. While this can help propel them to the top of the leaderboard, it typically doesn’t indicate a successful weekend. Third- and fourth-round success can often be attributed to who has been gaining strokes in three important categories: Off-the-Tee, Approach and Ball-Striking.

Let’s take a look at who you should play this weekend at the Northern Trust based on these Strokes Gained metrics.

Matthew Wolff

I was high on Wolff going into the tournament, and remain so going into the weekend. The reason he was such a great fit for this course was his off the tee prowess. In the first two rounds he ranks second in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee (+2.8). He is also gaining strokes on the field with his approaches ranking 25th in Strokes Gained: Approach (+2.8). He sits at -10 and is five shots behind the leader. He is ranked 56th in Strokes Gained: Putting (+0.0), so if he can just get a few more putts to fall he should find himself in contention late on Sunday.

Odds after Round 2: +2200 (DraftKings)

Brian Harman

The lefty sits at -9, six shots back of the lead. He has been excellent tee to green so far this week. He ranks sixth in the field in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee (+2.1) and 11th in Strokes Gained: Approach. He has gotten himself in the mix while losing 0.9 strokes putting, which ranks 77th in the field. This is surprising because Harman is typically an excellent putter. Expect him to get the putter rolling more efficiently on the weekend.

Odds after Round 2: +10000 (DraftKings)

Bubba Watson

Bubba has been excellent this week in the predictive statistical categories. He ranks 14th (+4.0) in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking, 24th (+1.2) in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, and 20th (+2.9) in Strokes Gained: Approach. He also sits at -9 and in contention for the weekend while ranking 73rd (-0.9) in putting. While he isn’t one of the best putters on tour, he can get it rolling on occasion. Watson has the win equity that many of the players in contention don’t, which makes him worth a look.

Odds after Round 2: +8000 (DraftKings)

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories