Meet Sam Burns, a U.S. Open Longshot to Watch

Meet Sam Burns, a U.S. Open Longshot to Watch article feature image

Feb 25, 2018; Palm Beach Gardens, FL, USA; Sam Burns putts on the 5th green during the final round of The Honda Classic golf tournament at PGA National (Champion). Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Sam Burns

DFS Pricing: $6,400 DraftKings, $7,900 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): N/A, N/A, N/A, MC, N/A

Odds: +40,000 to win, +3000 top-10 finish, +1400 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +3000 top-10 finish

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 12:30 p.m. (Thursday); 6:45 a.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Burns is an elite prospect and has shown some great flashes in his limited tour starts. He ran away with the Memphis sectional qualifier by five shots in a field that included about 50 PGA Tour pros to earn his spot this week. I’ll check his draw, and if he gets the correct end of the weather over the first two days, I’ll check his top-20 odds. But he’s a name to remember for fall. After winning on the Tour, he’s basically earned his 2018-19 PGA Tour card. The swing season is a good time to find golf value with the focus on the NFL. So keep the name in the back of your mind and check back in September.

The Metrics

Here’s how Burns ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-83rd
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 111th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 81st
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 9th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 72nd

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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