MLB Betting Notes: Kershaw, Sale and Verlander In Action
We’re in a peculiar spot in the baseball schedule. Because of some off days during opening week, some teams are back at the top of their rotation, while others are trotting out their fifth starter, creating some interesting lines for Tuesday night.
But this is baseball, and that means weird stuff is bound to happen.
Let’s get funky.
Boston Red Sox (-257) @ Miami Marlins (+232) | O/U: 7.5
6:10 p.m. ET
Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Jose Urena (0-1, 11.25 ERA)
Unfamiliar Foe: Chris Sale is a nice little pitcher. I think we can all agree on that point. However, he has been especially dominant when facing teams who aren’t familiar with him. Per Fantasy Labs, he has a +/- of +2.6 against divisional opponents since 2014 to go along with a 61% consistency and 3% upside. Not too bad. However, against nondivision opponents, his +/- jumps up to +6.1, consistency goes up to 74% and upside up to 17%. And to boot, his ownership has actually dropped a hair in these nondivision spots. Might want to think twice about fading him and his high price tag. – Mark Gallant
To Mark’s point, Sale’s teams have gone 47-43 (51%) straight-up against division opponents when he starts but 56-35 (62%) vs. nondivision teams. – John Ewing