Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Max Scherzer
Wiseguys bounced back in epic fashion on Thursday, cashing all three of their plays (Astros-Indians Over 8, Rays +113 and Royals -120). Now it’s Friday, which is arguably the best day of the week for sharp MLB bettors. Public players are finishing their work week and more apt to get down on games (specifically favorites and home teams), which leads to increased ticket counts and more contrarian value.
This doesn’t mean sharps double down on Fridays and risk multiple units, it just means that they’re operating with an increased edge. As always, wiseguys stay the course and stick to flat betting.
After analyzing Friday’s 15-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 7:05 p.m. and 7:10 p.m. ET.
All data as of 3:30 p.m. ET
Toronto Blue Jays (+104) at Philadelphia Phillies
7:05 p.m. ET
The Jays are 23-27 and have lost nine of their last 11 games. The Phillies are 28-19, at home, and only laying a small number. Naturally, the public is heavy on Philly. However, despite nearly 66% taking the Phils, the line has moved away from them (-139 to -115). This reverse line movement indicates heavy sharp action on Toronto (+128 to +106). Wiseguys at Pinnacle steamed Jays +112, causing the market to move majorly in Toronto’s favor. The Jays are also a road dog with a high total and an AL team in interleague play, two profitable spots since 2005.