Wiseguys swung and missed on their two total plays yesterday, but cashed big on Seattle over Houston. The Mariners checked off all the sharp boxes that pro players look for: low bets (33%), higher dollars (46%) and sharp reverse line movement (+120 to -103). Seattle was also a divisional dog (historically profitable spot) and received heavy steam from Pinnacle, one of the sharpest offshore books.

 

After analyzing Tuesday’s massive 16-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 7:10, 7:40 and 10:10 p.m. ET.

All data as of 3 p.m. ET

Washington Nationals (-121) at New York Mets

7:10 p.m. ET

The Nats rewarded contrarian bettors last night with an epic 8-6 come-from-behind win. Washington closed +156 with 37% of bets and 66% of dollars. Wiseguys are back on the Nats train tonight. They’re getting a slight majority of bets (55%) but more than 80% of dollars, a massive smart money bet vs. dollar discrepancy. Sharps at Pinnacle hit the Nats three separate times (twice at -106 and a third time at -120). This is notable because Pinnacle is one of the sharpest offshore books and the big dogs kept hitting the Nats even though the line got worse, signalling supreme confidence. The overload of sharp action has moved Harper and Company from -104 to -121.

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Credit:

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

Follow Josh Appelbaum on Twitter
@Josh_Insights