MLB Odds, Picks for Cardinals vs. Mets: Bet New York in Game 2 of Doubleheader
Mike Stobe/Getty Images. Pictured: Starling Marte
- The Mets are slight favorites in Game 2 of tonight's doubleheader with the Cardinals.
- Steven Matz takes the mound for St. Louis, opposed by New York's Taijuan Walker.
- Continue reading for a full breakdown of the matchup, including a betting pick.
Cardinals vs. Mets Game 2 Odds
|Over/Under||7.5 (-120 / +100)|
|Time||approx 7:10 p.m. ET|
|Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
For analysis of Tuesday’s first game, click here.
The St. Louis Cardinals and New York Mets have a quick turnaround for Game 2 of their doubleheader. After getting rained out Monday, the forecast looks great for Tuesday’s games with the exception of some strong winds.
Taijuan Walker will take the mound for the Mets and he’ll be making his fifth start of the season.
Steven Matz will be taking the ball for the Cards and making his second career start as the opposing pitcher against the Mets.
Cardinals Need More From Matz
Matz has struggled so far this season after signing a four-year deal with the Cards this offseason. He’s posted a 6.40 ERA, but a 4.06 FIP and a 2.96 xFIP indicate there may be some room for positive regression.
Matz’s splits also indicate a similar pattern as he has a 6.39 road ERA, but a 5.00 FIP and 2.99 xFIP.
Additionally, Matz pitched fairly well in his first start as the opposition at Citi Field, throwing 5 2/3 innings, and only surrendering two runs on four hits. However, he did walk three.
The Mets’ offense is a much more patient and potent incarnation in 2022, so despite Matz’s expected stats, his surface-level ones make him a pretty volatile option.
Which Walker Will Mets Get?
Speaking of volatility, Walker will get the ball for the Mets and he’s been kind of the inverse of Matz. Overall, his numbers look solid, but his peripherals and expected stats look much worse.
So far, Walker has posted a good-looking 3.00 ERA, but he has a 4.49 FIP and a 4.33 xFIP to go with it.
However, this is only Walker’s second start at home this season. Since joining the Mets, Walker’s stronger split is at home and in his only other home start this season he threw five strong innings against the Phillies.
In his first year with the Mets, Walker dominated at home in the first half. He posted a 2.12 ERA with a 2.52 FIP. Considering his level of comfort at home, especially in the first half, this would be something worth noting.
Although there is a limited set of data for 2022, there are indicators that Walker could be due for a solid start in Tuesday’s Game 2.
Offensively, the Mets have been surprisingly below average against LHP at home over the past few weeks. This is a relatively small sample, but it shows that the Mets have cooled off some and they have at least one clear weakness over that time period.
Depending on how Game 1 goes in terms of bullpen usage, Game 2 is a pretty muddy picture. Neither pitcher is very reliable and neither has posted numbers that make them easy to back in their given situation.
Considering how good the Mets have been overall this season, it’s hard to bet against them. Especially, if they have odds in the -125 range. That is a pretty good value considering how good they’ve been this year. That is why the Mets moneyline should be the play in Game 2.
Pick: Mets ML -125
How would you rate this article?
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.