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Cardinals vs. Mets Odds & Picks: How to Bet Tuesday’s Game 1

Cardinals vs. Mets Odds & Picks: How to Bet Tuesday’s Game 1 article feature image
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Scott Kane/Getty Images. Pictured: St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Miles Mikolas.

  • The Cardinals and Mets will play two games on Tuesday, with the first beginning at 3:10 p.m. ET.
  • The Mets enter as favorites in this one, as Trevor Williams is set to take the mound for New York against St. Louis' Miles Mikolas.
  • Read on for updated odds and a betting pick from Jules Posner.

Cardinals vs. Mets Game 1 Odds

Cardinals Odds +105
Mets Odds -125
Over/Under 8.5 (-105 / -115)
Time 3:10 p.m. ET
TV MLB.TV
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

After getting rained out on Monday, the St. Louis Cardinals and New York Mets square off for a doubleheader on Tuesday’s Major League Baseball card.

The Mets have hit a little bit of a skid, which by their 2022 standards consists of a 5-5 mark over their last 10 games. Considering the way they’ve played this year, this is a full-on slump.

On the other side, the Cardinals have been weird. They dropped a series at home to the Baltimore Orioles, then turned around and took their next series against the San Francisco Giants in convincing fashion. It was so convincing, they even let Albert Pujols pitch an inning.

St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Cardinals offense blew up in Sunday’s game. And while this is the same offense traveling to New York… is it really?

Kind of.

The Cardinals travel relatively well, at least lately. They have a 103 wRC+ on the road versus RHP over the past two weeks. Perhaps they packed the Sunday fireworks for their trip. Although, I don’t think you can bring them on planes. Maybe that’s just commercial flights?

I digress.

Miles Mikolas takes the mound for the Cardinals and has been as steady as they come this season. He’s been excellent on the road as well. Mike Mikolas has a 1.04 ERA and a 2.24 FIP so far away from home. Surprisingly, it’s been his stronger split.

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New York Mets

The Mets return home after dropping a series to the Seattle Mariners. That was actually the first series the Mets have lost all season.

A return home to New York means a return to the environment where the Mets are an upper-tier offense. They have one of the best home offense in MLB in terms of wRC+, but have sunk closer to average this month after a hot start.

Also, Trevor Williams is pitching for the Mets and he’s… Trevor Williams. Not to say that he’s bad, but considering the standards the Mets starting pitchers have set this season. That’s fine. It’s because he’s Trevor Williams.

However, Williams has pitched respectably since joining the Mets. Although his ERA this season is an unappealing 6.23 at home, he has a 3.57 FIP and 2.13 xFIP in a tiny sample. Furthermore, he actually pitched really well last season, posting a 1.10 ERA with a 2.68 FIP over 16 and 1/3 innings.

Sneaky!

Cardinals-Mets Pick

While it’s easy to automatically fade Williams, especially in a situation where a team like the Cardinals are getting plus money, further analysis makes it a much harder decision.

However, it’s not that hard though. Back the Cardinals moneyline, baby, getting those good odds.

But in all seriousness, the Mets are in a slight funk and the Cardinals are at full strength. Maybe it’s time they make a statement and get revenge for their sweep at home earlier in the season.

If the moneyline stays in plus money, thus betting angle provides plenty of value.

Fly free, Red Birds.

Pick: Cards ML (+105)

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