Wouldn’t it be nice if every day was Friday? Wiseguys sure think so.
As our Josh Appelbaum has pointed out before, Fridays have historically been the best day of the week for sharp bettors. They tend to draw more public action from casual bettors who may not be as involved during the work week, increasing the value in taking contrarian spots and following sharp indicators.
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It’s been a tough baseball season for bettors following sharp action. Good teams have been really good, and bad teams have been really bad, so there haven’t been nearly as many opportunities to cash on underdogs as in years past.
Friday, however, has stayed loyal to sharps.
After a 4-0 sweep last night, Sharp Report plays are now 33-23-3 on Fridays despite being 142-168-6 overall. Wiseguys will hope to keep the second half going strong with five plays on Saturday night.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay the sportsbook in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettors would have to wager $115 to win $100.
San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies
- Sharp angle: Under 8
- First pitch 7:05 p.m. ET
Not exactly a high-profile pitching matchup here, as Luis Perdomo and Vince Velasquez bring with ERA’s of 7.55 and 4.39, respectively. Perhaps that’s why 69% of bettors are taking this over. I mean, these teams put up 16 runs in Friday’s matchup that featured Jake Arrieta. How could they not hit the over again tonight?
Sharps aren’t sold on that reasoning, though. The forecast in Philly is calling for some rain and heavy wind in from right field, so if this game is played, it won’t feature the best hitting conditions.
Wiseguys at Pinnacle have hit this under twice since opening, driving the total down from its opener of 8.5 despite the majority of bettors on the over.