MLB Sharp Report: Mets-Marlins, Twins-Mariners Drawing Smart Money
Jennifer Buchanan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jonathan Schoop and Mallex Smith
- Sharp bettors are hitting two of Saturday's MLB matchups: Mets-Marlins (4:10 p.m. ET) and Twins-Mariners (10:10 p.m. ET).
- Sports Insights' Bet Signals and betting market percentages help reveal the plays wiseguys are making.
Between the 144th running of the Preakness and the second-to-last day of the PGA Championship, Saturday has plenty of betting options to offer outside of its 15-game baseball slate. That doesn’t mean bettors are ditching America’s Pastime for the day, though — especially not the sharps.
In fact, wiseguys have hit two games on the MLB docket especially hard, going after an afternoon matchup as well as the final start of the night.
>> All odds as of 10:35 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
4:10 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Marlins (moved from +121 to +107)
2019 hasn’t been the breakthrough year that many expected from the Mets (yet, at least), but it has been nowhere near the disaster that’s taking place at the bottom of the NL East standings. The Marlins’ 11-31 record puts them on pace for … 42 wins.
So it’s not too surprising to see 78% of bettors jumping at the chance to fade the Fish this afternoon, especially at a relatively short Mets price (opened -131). What is a bit surprising, though, is how this line has moved since it was released.
Despite their support, the Mets have fallen to -116 as sharp bettors on the Marlins have convinced oddsmakers to drop their line from +121 to +107. Four Sports Insights Bet Signals — two steam and two reverse line moves — have hit Miami at lines ranging from +120 to +110 to help drive this number down.
Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners
10:10 p.m. ET
Sharp Angle: Mariners (moved from +123 to +121)
As the latest start time on tonight’s slate, this game hasn’t yet attracted a ton of action, but all indications point to sharps starting to find some value on the home side.
Similar to Mets-Marlins matchup, bettors are able to get a better team at a reasonable price on the road, and they’re taking that opportunity. But even with another 78% backing behind the Twins, the line has nudged toward Seattle thanks to some wiseguy activity.
The 22% of bettors on the Mariners have generated 31% of actual money wagered, which means bigger bets — the ones more likely to be made by sharps — are landing on Seattle.
Confirming the sharp action, an SI Bet Signal in the form of a reverse line move was triggered on the M’s at +120, sending some books down to the +115 range.