Sunday MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Our 2 Best Bets, Featuring Angels vs. Blue Jays, Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (May 29)
Matthew Stockman/Getty Images. Pictured: Los Angeles Angels star Shohei Ohtani.
We have another busy slate on Sunday’s Major League Baseball card, with plenty of betting options in these Memorial Day weekend showdowns.
Action Network handicappers Charlie DiSturco and Jules Posner have unveiled their best bets, which come from games featuring the Toronto Blue Jays facing the Los Angeles Angels and the Los Angeles Dodgers taking on the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Check out below where they’ve landed for their top selections.
MLB Odds & Picks
Blue Jays vs. Angels
Charlie DiSturco: The Toronto Blue Jays look to close out a road sweep of the Los Angeles Angels, sending José Berríos to the mound to take on Patrick Sandoval.
One of the biggest early-season fade candidates has been the right-hander Berríos. Even though he enters off two consecutive quality starts, his underlying metrics are incredibly concerning.
Berríos has a 6.70 xERA, nearly two runs higher than his actual ERA of 4.75. He ranks in the bottom three percent of all pitchers in xBA (.326) and xSLG (.606), as opponents have been able to barrel the 28-year-old consistently.
*Graphic courtesy of Baseball Savant
It’s quite concerning against an Angels offense that ranks second in wRC+ and fourth in wOBA. Mike Trout (214 wRC+) has been incredible once again, and even with a slow start from Shohei Ohtani (115 wRC+), players like Jared Walsh (121) and Taylor Ward (231) have stepped up and made a huge impact.
Tack on Sandoval matching up against Berríos and the Angels have the clear advantage. Sandoval is in the top 10 percent of the league in xSLG (.325), limiting barrels and really cementing himself as a strong arm in the middle of the Los Angeles rotation.
His off-speed has really taken a step forward in 2202, with his changeup (.071 BA), slider (.095) and curveball (.000) all being extremely effective pitches.
This is just the perfect matchup for the Angels to bounce back with a win to close out their series before heading to New York to take on the Yankees.
Back the Halos to get the job done in this meeting.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks
Jules Posner: As much as I hate it, the Los Angeles Dodgers have been road warriors this season. They look to improve upon their 17-9 mark by completing a four-game sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Tyler Anderson flirted with a no-no in his last start, but that only added to his solid overall road numbers. He has a 2.08 ERA and a 2.92 FIP to match on the road this season and he’ll be taking on an offense that’s 24th in MLB in team wRC+ at home against LHP in May.
Zach Davies has had his moments, but the Los Angeles offense has been obliterating right-handed pitching on the road over the past couple of weeks. Davies is also posting a 4.74 BB/9 at home, thus giving an offense like the Dodgers’ free base runners is not a formula for success.
Additionally, Davies is a contact pitcher and Los Angeles is a team you don’t want to be putting the ball in play because when they do that… it’s good.
The Dodgers’ runline is the best value in this game and is at -130 at -1.5 presently on most books. However, some books have them -2.5 for plus money, but that’s always scary. Getting -130 is still fine value and the Los Angeles Run Line should be played to -140 odds.
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