The killer was an epically bad beat in Cleveland. Wiseguys got down on the Under 8.5 and the Tribe took a 4-0 lead into the top of the ninth, only to surrender seven runs to the Reds (all with two outs), losing 7-4. Instead of a 2-2 day with slight plus money profit, sharps finished 1-3, losing nearly 2 units. No time to lament heartbreaking losses. As always, wiseguys are onto the next.
After analyzing Wednesday’s 15-game MLB slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7:10 p.m., 8:10 p.m. and 10:07 p.m. ET.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay the sportsbook in order for them to accept your wager.
Data as of 2:15 p.m. ET. All bets risking one unit, not to win one unit. All plays Listed Pitcher, not Action.
Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians Under 9
7:10 p.m. ET
Sharps are looking to avenge their brutal bad beat last night by getting even tonight. Currently 70% of bets are taking the Over, but it accounts for only 53% of dollars, indicating predominantly Average Joe Over money.
Despite the heavy over betting, the juice has moved from 9 Under -110 to 9 Under -116, indicating the books have liability on the under with the next move likely down to 8.5.
Sharps at BetOnline crushed the Under 9 late this morning, triggering a pair of steam and reverse line moves. The BetOnline reverse line move is especially notable considering it’s up +24 units this season (meaning sharps at BetOnline has done incredibly well when betting on MLB totals). Just like last night, the wind is blowing in from center, another benefit to under backers.