The Washington Nationals host the New York Mets on August 19, 2025. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SNY.
Find my MLB betting preview and Mets vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Mets vs Nationals Prediction
- Mets vs Nationals picks: Over 9
My Mets vs Nationals best bet is Over 9 with the best odds currently on BetMGM. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Nationals Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -120 | 9 -105o / -115u | -205 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -100 | 9 -105o / -115u | +168 |
Mets vs Nationals Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP David Peterson (NYM) | Stat | RHP Jake Irvin (WAS) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | W-L | 8-7 |
| 2.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 3.30 / 4.29 | ERA /xERA | 5.14 / 5.41 |
| 3.49 / 3.68 | FIP / xFIP | 5.40 / 4.76 |
| 1.28 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 11.7% | K-BB% | 7.7% |
| 55.7% | GB% | 44.2% |
| 90 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 99 | Location+ | 103 |
Mets vs Nationals Prediction, Betting Analysis
Late in the MLB season, games played in hitter-friendly or high-variance environments—such as in Colorado, Arizona, and Washington—tend to go over the total when the closing line is modest (≤10.5).
These markets often underestimate run production during the final stretch of the season due to weather conditions like humid air in DC and expanded rosters increasing bullpen volatility.
Public perception around fatigue or playoff pressure may further depress totals. This creates value when betting overs in August to October for these specific home teams, particularly during regular-season games.
Pick: Over 9
