The New York Mets (66-58) and Washington Nationals (50-74) will face off in the MLB tonight. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on SNY.
New York is a -200 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Washington is +165 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 9 total runs.
Continue below for my Mets vs Nationals predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, August 19, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Mets vs Nationals Picks, Prediction
- Mets vs Nationals pick: Over 9 Runs (-110)
My Nationals vs. Mets best bet is on the over, with the best odds currently available at BetMGM. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Nationals Odds for Tuesday, August 19
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -125 | 9 -110o / -110u | -200 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +105 | 9 -110o / -110u | +165 |
Mets vs Nationals Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP David Peterson (NYM) | Stat | RHP Jake Irvin (WAS) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | W-L | 8-7 |
| 2.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 3.30 / 4.29 | ERA /xERA | 5.14 / 5.41 |
| 3.49 / 3.68 | FIP / xFIP | 5.40 / 4.76 |
| 1.28 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 11.7% | K-BB% | 7.7% |
| 55.7% | GB% | 44.2% |
| 90 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 99 | Location+ | 103 |
Mets vs Nationals Prediction, Betting Analysis
Late in the MLB season, games played in hitter-friendly or high-variance environments — such as in Colorado, Arizona, and Washington— tend to go over the total when the closing line is modest (≤10.5).
These markets often underestimate run production during the final stretch of the season due to weather conditions like humid air in DC and expanded rosters increasing bullpen volatility.
Public perception around fatigue or playoff pressure may further depress totals, which appears to be the situation in tonight's matchup between the Mets and Nationals.
This creates value when betting overs in August to October for these specific home teams, particularly during regular-season games.
Mets vs Nationals Best Bet
- Over 9 (-110)
Mets vs Nationals Betting Trends
For the latest on MLB injuries, be sure to check out our MLB Injury Report page.
