The Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers on August 19, 2025. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MARQ.
Find my MLB betting preview and Brewers vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Brewers vs Cubs Prediction
- Brewers vs Cubs picks: Brewers Moneyline (-112 | Play to -120)
My Brewers vs Cubs best bet is Brewers moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Brewers vs Cubs Odds
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +154 | 7 -103o / -117u | -111 |
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 7 -103o / -117u | -109 |
Brewers vs Cubs Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Brandon Woodruff (MIL) | Stat | RHP Jameson Taillon (CHC) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | W-L | 7-6 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 2.06 / 2.27 | ERA /xERA | 4.44 / 4.38 |
| 3.63 / 3.01 | FIP / xFIP | 5.19 / 4.32 |
| 0.74 | WHIP | 1.11 |
| 27.9% | K-BB% | 13.9% |
| 30.3% | GB% | 33.3% |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 105 | Location+ | 110 |
Tony Sartori’s Brewers vs Cubs Preview
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview: Woodruff to Remain In Form
Brandon Woodruff has been sharp since returning to the rotation this season. Through seven starts, Woodruff is 4-0 with a 2.06 ERA and 0.74 WHIP.
His underlying metrics suggest that this dominance will continue. If Woodruff officially qualified, he would rank near the top of the league in xERA, xBA and strikeout rate.
That success is likely to continue against Chicago, as Woodruff is 2-1 with a 2.02 ERA and 0.79 WHIP over the past 11 meetings.
Behind the right-hander is a reliable bullpen. This season, Milwaukee’s relief corps ranks in the top 10 in FIP, xFIP and WAR.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview: Cubs Bullpen Struggling
Meanwhile, the Cubs’ bullpen is arguably their biggest weakness. Entering this matchup, Chicago’s relief corps ranks in the bottom half of the league in FIP, xFIP and WAR.
Not only do the Brewers own the bullpen advantage, but they also hold the edge in starting pitching. Right-hander Jameson Taillon carries a 4.44 ERA into this matchup, and his analytics are equally poor.
He currently ranks in the 34th percentile or lower in xERA, xBA, strikeout rate and barrel rate. Those struggles are likely to continue against Milwaukee, as Taillon is 1-3 with a 4.30 ERA over the past five meetings.
This current Milwaukee roster has posted a .272 xBA, .433 xSLG and .333 xwOBA through 152 combined plate appearances against Taillon.
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Betting Analysis
The hitting gap between these two teams continues to widen. The Brewers rank first in runs per game, second in hits per game, second in batting average and second in on-base percentage.
Chicago trails in each of those four categories. Combined with the pitching disparity, Milwaukee should prevail Tuesday evening.
Pick: Brewers Moneyline (-112 | Play to -120)
Moneyline
As mentioned, I'm betting the Brewers moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I also like the Brewers to cover, but I find more value in just taking the outright moneyline price.
Over/Under
I lean toward the over, but don't want to fade Woodruff.
