The Pittsburgh Pirates (53-73) and Toronto Blue Jays (73-53) will face off in the MLB tonight. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on SNET.
Toronto is a -150 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is +125 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 8 total runs.
Continue below for my Blue Jays vs Pirates predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, August 19, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Blue Jays vs Pirates Prediction
- Blue Jays vs Pirates pick: Under 8 Runs (-115)
My Pirates vs Blue Jays best bet is on the under, with the best price currently available at BetMGM. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs Pirates Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 8 -105o / -115u | -150 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -145 | 8 -105o / -115u | +125 |
Blue Jays vs Pirates Preview, Picks
This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting, which appears to be the situation entering tonight's matchup between the Blue Jays and Pirates.
It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity — ranging from 45 to 95 — intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.
Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.
In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.
The market has subtly corrected as well, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest — between 6 and 29.
These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.
Blue Jays vs Pirates Best Bet
- Under 8 (-115)
