Freedman’s Favorite Houston-Ohio State NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bets
Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Houston Cougars forward Breaon Brady (24) and Houston Cougars guard Corey Davis Jr. (5).
- Matthew Freedman continues his series featuring one of his favorite prop bets for each day of 2019.
- On Sunday, he highlights his favorite NCAA Tournament player props in the Houston-Ohio State game (8:40 p.m. ET, TNT).
Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine. See my master list of 2019 prop bets for more information.
Also follow me in The Action Network app, where each day I post additional official player prop picks.
In this piece I’m going to highlight my favorite NCAA Tournament player props for the Houston-Ohio State game. For more information, check out my piece on my March Madness prop-betting strategy.
You also should look at our live betting odds page for up-to-the-minute lines.
2019 Year-to-Date Record
346-284-12, +44.14 Units
- NFL: 21-13-0, +11.72 Units
- NBA: 198-154-4, +26.06 Units
- NHL: 66-80-7, -7.57 Units
- Golf: 4-7-1, -2.35 Units
- NASCAR: 5-8-0. -1.70 Units
- NCAAB: 29-19-0. +6.35 Units
- NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
- Exotic: 23-2-0. +12.64 Units
#3 Houston vs. #11 Ohio State
- Spread: Houston -6.0
- Over/Under: 132.5
- Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
- TV: TNT
Corey Davis Jr. Under 18.0 points (-115)
The senior guard leads the Cougars with 16.9 points and 32.8 minutes per game, but I’m leaning toward the under on his prop.
Houston is implied for just 69.25 points, compared to the 75.9 per game it has averaged this year.
On top of that, Davis doesn’t seem likely to get much more playing time than what he has gotten recently. Over his past 15 games, he has averaged 34.9 minutes. In the postseason, 33.5 minutes.
Unless Davis sees significantly more minutes, I think he’s more likely to score 17 points than 19.
Kaleb Wesson Over 13.0 points (-130)
Despite being fifth on the Buckeyes with 25.8 minutes per game, Wesson is first with 9.8 field-goal attempts, 5.4 free-throw attempts and 14.6 points per game.
The sophomore forward saw 31 and 34 minutes in the two postseason games in which foul trouble didn’t impact his playing time. I think he’s a strong bet to see 30-plus minutes against Houston. And it’s almost unthinkable for him to play fewer than 25 minutes.
In his 19 games with 25-plus minutes, Wesson has averaged 16.5 points per game.
Andre Wesson Over 8.0 points (-115)
The elder Wesson lacks his brother’s scoring prowess — he’s third on the team with just 8.7 points per game — but the junior forward is second with an average of 29.7 minutes: He’s a key player for Ohio State.
And in the postseason, his playing time has jumped up to 37.3 minutes per game. As a result, he’s also enjoyed an increase in scoring: In his three postseason games, he has 10.7 points per game.
Even if Wesson plays just 35 minutes, he has a good chance to hit the over, and he could also see even more playing time: In Round 1, he played 39 minutes.