Texas Tech-Virginia Odds: Bettors Hammering Historically Low Over/Under
Bob Donnan-USA TODVirginia Cavaliers guard Kyle GuyAY Sports. Pictured:
- Texas Tech will take on Virginia in the 2019 NCAA Tournament National Championship Game (Monday at 9:20 p.m. ET, CBS).
- Both teams boast stifling defenses and slowly-paced offenses, forcing oddsmakers to open this matchup with a historically low over/under.
- Using Bet Labs, we put this number into historical context, while analyzing how early bettors are playing the Texas Tech-Virginia total.
The 2019 college basketball championship game is set as Texas Tech will take on Virginia to determine this year’s national champion.
Offense wins games, but defense wins championships, and both the Red Raiders and Cavaliers have leveraged their lock-down defenses to advance through the NCAA Tournament.
According to KenPom, Texas Tech and Virginia rank first and fifth, respectively, in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Further, the Red Raiders and Cavs check in at 237th and 353rd in terms of Adjusted Tempo, meaning these teams are not only stingy on the defensive end of the court, but they both play painstakingly slow offensively.
As a result, oddsmakers opened the Texas Tech-Virginia over/under at a historically low of 117.5. According to Bet Labs, that’s the lowest national championship total since we started tracking college basketball betting data in 2005.
The next lowest over/under came during the 2010 National Championship Game between Duke and Butler, which closed at 127.5. Despite this historically low number, bettors are having no problem hammering the under.
According to The Action Network’s public betting data, 62% of tickets and 71% of money wagered on the Texas Tech-Virginia total have played the under.
The early action has convinced a handful of sportsbooks to move the number down to 117, while others are holding strong at the opener of 117.5.
Since 2005, just 15 NCAA Tournament games have closed with over/unders of 117.5 or lower, with the final score landing under the total six times.
However, championship games have trended under during that span, with the under hitting in nine of the past 14 title matchups.
Be sure to download The Action Network’s mobile app to track real-time odds and betting percentages updates for Monday’s championship game between Texas Tech and Virginia.