2019 College Football Bowl Projections After Week 8

2019 College Football Bowl Projections After Week 8 article feature image

Scott Olmos-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Oregon Duck

  • Our college football bowl projections are updated after Week 8.
  • We're projecting every game and the point spread for that hypothetical matchup using our betting power ratings.

We’re hitting the meat of conference play during the 2019 college football season, and as a result, bowl eligibility is starting to take shape. So the process of projecting bowl games feels a little easier, or at least less rooted in preseason beliefs.

And because we always need a betting spin, we’re projecting the point spreads for every game in our bowl projections using our oddsmaker-style power ratings.

Let’s start with the New Year’s Six games, including the College Football Playoff.

2019 College Football Bowl Projections

CFP & New Year’s Six Bowls

There entire College Football Playoff picture is still up in the air, so this is based mostly on what we think might happen.

The most interesting addition this week has to be Baylor — the 7-0 Bears have two games remaining as an underdog (Texas and Oklahoma), but three other winnable games, and that could get them into the Big 12 Championship Game. Especially if Texas plays like it did on Saturday in a narrow win over Kansas.

Assuming Ohio State keeps rolling and is a College Football Playoff participant, either Wisconsin or Minnesota looks primed for that Rose Bowl spot.

The trickiest slot to figure out is the ACC’s Orange Bowl bid, assuming Clemson reaches the CFP. It could be pretty much any team right now.

The Group of 5’s New Year’s Six bid is also very much in flux. Boise was in the driver’s seat until losing to BYU on Saturday. Ultimately, it could still be the Broncos, since SMU has three losable games remaining and App State goes to South Carolina.

Every Other Bowl Game

A lot has changed since the start of the season, particularly in the ACC.

Louisville and North Carolina were two teams not expected to contend for postseason bids. But right now we’ve got Miami and Florida State out and those two getting to six wins.

There are plenty of other teams we thought would be bowl eligible who will be right on the cusp — Cal, Mississippi State and Toledo among them.

We can and certainly will speculate about who will get to six wins and who won’t, but many scenarios will be decided in the coming weeks with so many teams at three and four wins right now.

2019 Bowl Tie-Ins

Peach Bowl — CFP Semifinal
Fiesta Bowl — CFP Semifinal

Sugar Bowl — SEC vs. Big 12
Rose Bowl — Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Orange Bowl — ACC vs. SEC/Big Ten/ND
Cotton Bowl — at-large vs. at-large

Mobile Bowl — MAC vs. Sun Belt
Armed Forces Bowl — Big Ten vs. Mountain West
Potato Bowl — MAC vs. Mountain West
Gator Bowl — Big Ten vs. SEC
Birmingham Bowl — American vs. SEC
Citrus Bowl — ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC
Outback Bowl — Big Ten vs. SEC
Alamo Bowl — Big 12 vs. Pac-12
Arizona Bowl — Mountain West vs. Sun Belt
Liberty Bowl — Big 12 vs. SEC
Sun Bowl — ACC vs. Pac-12
Belk Bowl — ACC vs. SEC
Redbox Bowl — Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Music City Bowl — ACC vs. SEC
First Responder Bowl — Big 12 vs. C-USA
Camping World Bowl — ACC vs. Big 12
Cheez-It Bowl — Big 12 vs. Pac-12
Holiday Bowl — Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Texas Bowl — Big 12 vs. SEC
Pinstripe Bowl — ACC vs. Big Ten
Military Bowl — ACC vs. American
Quick Lane Bowl — ACC vs. Big Ten
Independence Bowl — ACC vs. SEC
Hawaii Bowl — BYU vs. American
Gasparilla Bowl — American/ACC vs. C-USA
New Orleans Bowl — C-USA vs. Sun Belt
Las Vegas Bowl — Mountain West vs. Pac-12
Camellia Bowl — MAC vs. Sun Belt
Boca Raton Bowl — American/C-USA/MAC
Cure Bowl — American vs. Sun Belt
New Mexico Bowl — C-USA vs. Mountain West
Frisco Bowl — American vs. C-USA/MAC/Mountain West
Bahamas Bowl — C-USA vs. MAC

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