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Bets Piling Up on Michigan, Notre Dame to Make College Football Playoff

Bets Piling Up on Michigan, Notre Dame to Make College Football Playoff article feature image

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jim Harbaugh

Odds to Make the 2021-22 College Football Playoff
Via BetMGM

Team Odds
Clemson -1000
Alabama -350
Oklahoma -275
Ohio State -225
Georgia +160
Iowa State +450
Texas A&M +500
USC +600
Oregon +600
Washington +600
Notre Dame +700
Wisconsin +800
Florida +800
North Carolina +1000
Texas +1000
Arizona State +1000
Cincinnati +1100
Miami +1100
LSU +1100
Penn State +1300
Iowa +1300
Michigan +2000
Indiana +2000
Ole Miss +2000
Auburn +2000
Utah +2500
UCLA +2500
TCU +3000
West Virginia +4000
Kentucky +5000
Nebraska +5000
UCF +5000
Kansas State +5000
NC State +5000
Florida State +5000
Louisiana +6500
Coastal Carolina +8000
Appalachian State +10000

BetMGM released odds for 36 teams to crack this year’s College Football Playoff – a postseason reserved for only the nation’s top four clubs.

So far, bettors are banking on a pair of popular programs just mere days out from the regular season.

High Expectations for Michigan, Notre Dame

The largest handle belongs to a team yet to break through during the Playoff era: Michigan, at a 32.7% hold.

The Wolverines have dropped at least three games in all six seasons under Jim Harbaugh, who’s nabbed as many wins over Ohio State as you and I have.

The Action Network projects the Wolverines for roughly six wins this fall – well short of their regular-season win total of 7.5 and a surefire dud in the Playoff race.
Michigan is the second-biggest liability for BetMGM. The only worse outcome for the book is Notre Dame, which is tops in ticket count (24.6%) and second in overall handle (24.6%).
Unlike its rival Michigan, Notre Dame is familiar with the Playoff, recently cracking the four-team field just last season.
However, can the program withstand a boatload of roster turnover?
Only two teams in the entire country own a worse Transfer Asset & Return Production (TARP) rating – a metric devised by our own Collin Wilson to quantify returning talent and transfer production.
Not to be outdone, the Fighting Irish also lost defensive coordinator Clark Lea to Vanderbilt. The 38-year-old ranks 10th overall in average havoc ranking.

Pac-12 Sleeper?

The Pac-12 hasn’t sent a team to the Playoff since 2016. How can bettors get the best bang for their buck in this conference?

Oregon and Washington are both extremely short at 6-1, and nobody is flocking to USC: The blue-blood hasn’t garnered a single wager at the book.

How’s Utah sound for a sleeper?

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Collin Wilson’s biggest weekly edges

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The Utes have only received 2.9% of tickets. But due to the 25-1 payout, Utah making the Playoff would be the third-worst outcome for the book. 

Busting down the Playoff barrier would more than likely require long-tenured head coach Kyle Whittingham to also pocket his first Pac-12 title.

It’s a true long shot, but at least Utah has been profitable over the course of the regular season. The Utes have covered 55.4% of their games since Whittingham took over in 2011, which ranks top-15 among FBS programs over that span.

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