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National Championship Odds: LSU Makes a Leap Following Week 7

Oct 15, 2018 4:23 PM EDT
  • LSU saw its title odds increase from 100-1 to 40-1 following a Week 7 win over Georgia.
  • Washington, Penn State and Wisconsin all saw big drops after their losses.

Five teams ranked No. 15 or higher lost in college football’s Week 7, which made its mark on the national championship futures market.

Several teams certainly saw drastic changes in their odds to win this year’s title, but others — such as Michigan, Georgia, and Oregon — were barely affected by their Saturday results.

Here are the latest odds to win the College Football Playoff from Westgate.

Table defaults to preseason odds. Click on a date to sort.

Risers

LSU: +10000 to +4000 (0.99% to 2.44% implied probability)

Week 7 vs. Georgia: Won 36-16

This shouldn’t come as a surprise, but LSU saw the biggest odds jump from this weekend after a relatively easy win over No. 2 Georgia.

The Tigers still have three ranked SEC opponents on their schedule, including Alabama, but they’re now the seventh-most likely team to win the title according to betting odds.

USC: +100000 to +30000 (0.1% to 0.33%)

Week 7 vs. Colorado: Won 31-20

The Trojans are still given a microscopic chance of winning this year’s national championship, but after beating No. 19 Colorado by double digits, they more than tripled their implied chance at the title.

Fallers

Washington: +3000 to +30000 (3.23% to 0.33% implied probability)

Week 7 @ Oregon: Lost 30-27 (OT)

Saturday’s game in Oregon was probably the biggest remaining hurdle on Washington’s schedule, so the Huskies’ odds following the game were due for a significant change one way or another.

The loss dropped them from the seventh- to 15th-most likely team to win the title.

Penn State: +5000 to +50000 (1.96% to 0.20% implied probability)

Week 7 vs. Michigan State: Lost 21-17

Penn State was already looking at a tough road to the College Football Playoff after losing to Ohio State two weeks ago, but Saturday’s loss to an unranked Michigan State team essentially ended all hope.

Wisconsin: +8000 to +30000 (1.23% to 0.33% implied probability)

Week 7 @ Michigan: Lost 38-13

Like Penn State, Wisconsin’s path to the playoff was already razor thin, so a second loss ends the Badgers’ chance at a top-four finish.

Credit:

Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: LSU Tigers cornerback Jontre Kirklin (13) celebrates after a turnover by the Georgia Bulldogs during the fourth quarter at Tiger Stadium. LSU defeated Georgia 36-16.

Follow Danny Donahue on Twitter
@dannyjdonahue

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# BETS
-8.5
58.5
-11
59
-15
51.5
-15
49
-13.5
68
-14
68
-2
80
-2.5
84
54
-3
49
-2.5
-3
59
-4.5
56
-3
53.5
-6
52
61
-17
59.5
-17
57
-7
57.5
-7
52
-24
52.5
-24
55.5
-14
53.5
-13.5
58.5
-18
58
-17
51
-5.5
48
-4
-17
51
-17.5
51
60.5
-25
58.5
-26
41
-14
40.5
-13.5
47.5
-2
47.5
-3
-8
53.5
-10.5
54
44
-13.5
44
-11
68
-3
67.5
-2