College Football Odds, Forecasts (Saturday, Dec. 5): Windy Weather Moving Navy vs. Tulsa, Penn State vs. Rutgers Totals

College Football Odds, Forecasts (Saturday, Dec. 5): Windy Weather Moving Navy vs. Tulsa, Penn State vs. Rutgers Totals article feature image
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Rob Carr/Getty Images. Pictured: Travis Kerchner.

  • Since 2005, college football games played in winds of 13+ mph have hit the under at a 57% rate on a sample of more than 1,000 games (566-434-34).
  • Danny Donahue outlines the two matchups that could fall under this criteria on Saturday.

It’s not much of a secret that weather can affect the outcome of a football game. And as such, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that oddsmakers often shift lines on account of game conditions.

However, what might not be as well known is just how much weather — and in particular, wind — matters. Thankfully, we have a database that can tell us exactly that.

Since 2005, college football games played in winds of 13+ mph have hit the under at a 57% rate (at the closing number) on a sample of more than 1,000 games (566-434-34).

And while it diminishes the sample, bumping the threshold up to 17+ mph increases the win rate to 59%. That may be worth noting for the pair of potentially wind-impacted games on Saturday’s slate.

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College Football Windy Weather Forecasts

Odds, forecasts as of 8 a.m. ET Friday.

Penn State vs. Rutgers

12 p.m. ET | B1G Network | Piscataway, N.J.

  • Projected wind speeds: 15 mph
  • O/U open to current: 57.5 to 52.5 (see live odds)

Tulsa vs. Navy

3:30 p.m. ET | ESPN2 | Annapolis, Md.

  • Projected wind speeds: 15 to 17 mph
  • O/U open to current: 49.5 to 45.5 (see live odds)

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