College Football Week 8 Weather: Wicked Winds Whipping In Midwest

Oct 20, 2018 9:00 AM EDT
  • A batch of Canadian wind is blowing down from the Northwest on Saturday, bringing cool temperatures and biting winds to a large area of the country that includes many college football games.
  • Three games are forecasted for winds greater than 20 mph: Maryland-Iowa (12 p.m. ET), Illinois-Wisconsin (12 p.m. ET) and Eastern Michigan-Ball State (3 p.m. ET).
  • Some of these games may also be accompanied by rain, bringing all-around miserable conditions to the playing field.

I think this is it, fellas. THE week we all knew was coming. The week of weeks. Wind, wind and more wind. Wind as far as the eye can see.

Winds are-a-whipping,
Over/unders are slipping,
Let’s cash some unders,

 

When I initially saw the forecast, I thought it was too good to be true. I was afraid the winds would weaken and it would all be a tease. Instead, the wind speeds have increased.

Let’s hope that trend continues over the next couple days.

Wind

Like I said, it’s a blustery one. Just so you know, here is the winning rate for unders at these certain wind thresholds:

  • 20+ mph: 64.3%
  • 15+ mph: 58.1%
  • 10+ mph: 54.4%

So you may have seen the title, but a lot of these games are in the Midwestern states. I found my new favorite website this week, Windy.com, which helps visualize windy weather forecasts.

This weather system begins Saturday morning in the Minnesota region and gradually shifts southeast as the day progresses.

In the afternoon, 15+ mph sustained winds and 30+ mph gusts envelop much of Minnesota, Iowa, Nebraska, Missouri, Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, Indiana and Ohio. By night time, it’ll mostly be impacting Illinois, Indiana, Ohio and Michigan.

This cold weather front is sucking cold Canadian air down from the north to make for some nippy conditions and a wintry feel. Luckily for us, there are a crapload of games taking place in this region.

The big three right now are the games in Wisconsin, Iowa and Ball State, which is apparently Indiana.

We’ve tracked huge movement on the under for the latter two games, but Wisconsin’s total stayed near the opener for quite a while. Though there has been some push back on the over, there have been multiple steam moves on the under coming in from different books, and it appears as though sharp bettors are buying into the forecast.

There are some games in other parts of the country expecting strong winds, too. Down in New Mexico, we have close to 20-mph winds for the Georgia Southern-New Mexico State affair.

Rain

This cold and breezy front isn’t bringing just gale-force gusts to a stadium near you. Several of the games affected by wind might also include some light rain, including:

  • Buffalo-Toledo
  • Michigan-Michigan State
  • Western Michigan-Central Michigan
  • Eastern Michigan-Ball State
  • Akron-Kent

Talk about unpleasant conditions. Temperatures for these games will be in the 40s with biting winds and potentially rain.

The quarterbacks are going to have trouble feeling their fingers, and the kickers — well, kickers in college generally suck regardless, so they’ll be in for a real treat this weekend.

I’ve already grabbed a handful of these unders. And if history is any indication, you should do the same.

Credit:

Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Wisconsin Badgers Quarterback Alex Hornibrook.

Follow Mark Gallant on Twitter
@marky_money

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
PSU
RUTG
48.5
+26
49.5
+27
MSU
NEB
49
+2
49
+2
IOWA
ILL
59
+15.5
58.5
+16
LIB
AUB
59.5
-28.5
59.5
-28.5
DUKE
CLEM
58
-27
57.5
-27.5
ARK
MSST
45.5
-18.5
46.5
-20.5
CIT
BAMA
--
--
--
--
MASS
UGA
62
-44
63
-44
OSU
MD
58
+17.5
58
+16.5
BC
FSU
49.5
+1
49
+2
IDHO
FLA
59
-39.5
59
-39.5
NCST
LOU
62.5
+14.5
63.5
+15
MTSU
UK
45
-13
45
-13.5
WVU
OKST
69.5
+5
71
+4.5
RICE
LSU
51
-44
51
-44
CIN
UCF
59.5
-8
59
-7.5
KU
OKLA
68
-34.5
68.5
-36
IND
MICH
53
-27.5
53.5
-27.5
ORST
WASH
57.5
-31
57.5
-33
ARIZ
WSU
60.5
-10
60.5
-10
ISU
TEX
51
-3
50.5
-3
SYR
ND
62.5
-10
62.5
-9
SDSU
FRES
45
-16
44
-15