Colorado State-Hawaii Betting Odds, Pick: A Tale of Rebuilding Offenses

Colorado State-Hawaii Betting Odds, Pick

• Spread: Colorado State -14
• Total:56.5
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network

College football back? Yep, college football back.

The first FBS vs. FBS game of the season kicks at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. Colorado State is a 14-point favorite, with the total set at 56.5.

The Rams have covered in four straight meetings with the Rainbow Warriors dating back to 2012. All four games have gone over, as well.

Colorado State lost more offensive production this offseason than all but one FBS team. Mike Bobo, who has underachieved in Fort Collins despite three consecutive bowl games, will be breaking in a new quarterback and offensive line.

Metrics that Matter for Colorado State-Hawaii

All metrics are final ratings from 2017.

Colorado State-Hawaii Market Movement

By Steve Petrella and P.J. Walsh

Colorado State is attracting 75% of bets and 63% of dollars wagered, according to our data at Sports Insights. The line has fluctuated between 13.5 and 14.5 since it opened in May.

The total has seen more movement with a whopping 95% of dollars bet on the under. Sharps bet the total down from 58 to 55, then steam came in the over, according to Sports Insights' Bet Signals. That pushed it back up to 56.5.

Colorado State-Hawaii Bet to Watch

By Collin Wilson

Hawaii is moving to a run-and-shoot offense with plenty of unknowns at quarterback, so there might be growing pains early.

You can expect a Mike Bobo-coached Colorado State team to take advantage in field position (fourth in 2017) thanks to a fifth overall ranking in Special Teams S&P+. The Rams kicker and punter are back for 2018 against a Hawaii special teams that ranks 129th overall in S&P+.

While I don’t know how Hawaii scores on offense, Colorado State is also breaking in new QB in KJ Carta-Samuels. The Rams have lost everything on offense, including 100-catch receiver Michael Gallup (now with the Cowboys) and most of the line. The current career starts in the offensive line are four players with eight, seven, three and two.

My first set of projections on the total have this game at 55.

See Collin's Bet for Saturday's Colorado State-Hawaii Game in Our Free App

Authors of this article include The Action Network's own: Steve Petrella, P.J. Walsh and Collin Wilson.