Georgia State vs. Wyoming Odds, Picks, Betting Predictions: Spread, Line for 2019 Arizona Bowl

Georgia State vs. Wyoming Odds

• Odds: Wyoming -7
• Over/Under: 49
• Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Tuscon, Ariz.

Both Georgia State and Wyoming won just a single game in the month of November, just enough to make their way to the Arizona Bowl.

Wyoming is leaving the quarterback position a mystery as practices plays out through December. Levi Williams is expected to get most of the playing time with Tyler Vander Waal entering the transfer portal.

Despite the mystery at quarterback, the Cowboys rushing attack should have plenty of success. Georgia State does not have many defensive statistics that rank inside the top 100, including line yards, opponent rushing explosiveness and havoc.

The Panthers are 129th in defensive finishing drives, allowing any opponent within the 40 to secure plenty of points. Wyoming may be middle of the pack in national statistics on the ground, but that is good enough to expose the Georgia State defense.

Georgia State head coach Shawn Elliot said quarterback Dan Ellington will be the team’s quarterback despite playing the end of the season on a torn ACL. The senior has been injured since a loss to Appalachian State, but returned to action against South Alabama to secure a bowl trip.

Ellington is the key cog to a Georgia State passing attack that is top 30 in success rate.

The point spread has no value with the Action Network projection of Wyoming -6.5. Our total projection of 52 does lead to a bit of value on the over as the market continues to dip.

Georgia State is not the most explosive offense, but ranks 18th in overall success rate and seconds per play. The more plays from the Panthers offense, the bigger the chance a Wyoming defensive unit can capitalize on havoc. The Cowboys are top 15 in the nation in forced fumbles with 14 total.

The special teams of Wyoming may have its say in the total number of points in the game. The Cowboys have clear advantages in punt and kickoff return units that should grant fantastic starting field position.

I will continue to let the number steam down through key numbers in the upper 40’s before eventually taking an over, as Georgia State should dictate the pace of the game. — Collin Wilson

Pick: Over 47.5 or better, Georgia State +7

Too Many Unknowns to Bet

This has to be one of the oddest bowl games on the schedule. These two teams are polar opposites. Georgia State has a very solid offense that likes to play super fast but has one of the worst defenses in the nation.

Meanwhile, Wyoming has an excellent defense (top 25 in yards per play) led by a stout front 7seven that is particularly dominant against the run, allowing only 2.7 yards per carry (fourth in the nation). Although you could argue some of the Wyoming defensive numbers are inflated as a result of very favorable weather (extremely high winds) in a number of games this year.

However, the Pokes have an abysmal offense that will now have a new quarterback under center for this bowl game after an injury and a transfer.
I’ve thought Wyoming has been overrated most of the year and they won’t have the extreme weather that’s helped them frequently this year. A team with an elite run defense and heavy ground attack offense will obviously thrive in heavy winds.

But I just don’t know what I’m going to get from Ellington with that ACL and the new Wyoming quarterback. And like I said before, the Georgia State defense is horrid as is its special teams. I likely won’t have anything pregame here but will be looking to see how the game develops for any potential live action.

This game is a pass for me. — Stuckey