Heisman Odds Watch: Kyler Murray Among the Biggest Risers from Week 3

Heisman Odds Watch: Kyler Murray Among the Biggest Risers from Week 3 article feature image

Reese Strickland-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Kyler Murray (1) rolls out to pass against the Iowa State Cyclones at Jack Trice Stadium. The Sooners beat the Cyclones 37 to 27

  • Sportsbooks have updated their odds to win the Heisman Trophy following Week 3.
  • Kyler Murray is among the biggest risers after his performance on Saturday.

With the third week of the college football season behind us, sportsbooks have released updated futures odds, including those to win the Heisman Trophy. The table below shows the updated numbers from Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas.

Table defaults to preseason odds. Click on a date to sort.

With the potential for some ridiculous stat lines in college football, Heisman odds can change drastically over the course of a week. Here are the four biggest risers and fallers from Week 3.

Biggest Risers

Tua Tagovailoa (QB, Alabama): +300 to +175 (25% to 36.36% implied probability)

Week 3 @ Ole Miss: 11 for 15, 191 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT. 47 rush yards on 5 attempts.

He didn’t exactly light up the box score, but the Heisman favorite further increased his chances of winning the award with a solid performance on Saturday. Of course the missing piece of information on his stat line is the 62-7 final score, which certainly doesn’t hurt.

Kyler Murray (QB, Oklahoma): +1200 to +450 (7.69% to 18.18% implied probability)

Week 3 @ Iowa State: 21 for 29, 348 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT. 77 rush yards on 15 attempts.

Kyler Murray more than doubled his chances to win the Heisman with another impressive stat line on Saturday. He’s now tied with West Virginia’s Will Grier as the second-most likely player to take home the trophy.

AJ Dillon (RB, Boston College): +2000 to +1200 (4.76% to 7.69% implied probability)

Week 3 @ Wake Forest: 185 yards on 33 attempts, 1 TD

After opening the season at +8000, AJ Dillon has made the biggest jump of anyone in the country. He’s now listed in a tie for the sixth-highest odds overall, and has the second-highest odds among running backs.

Justice Hill (RB, Oklahoma State): +6000 to +3000 (1.64% to 3.23% implied probability)

Week 3 vs. Boise State: 123 yards on 15 attempts, 1 TD

Hill just about doubled his chances in Oklahoma State’s 44-21 win over Boise on Saturday. He’s still a longshot — his +3000 odds have him in a tie for 10th-most likely to win the award — but he is the only player in the top-10 spots to have been listed at 100-1 or higher to start the year.

Biggest Fallers

Bryce Love (RB, Stanford): +1000 to +2500 (9.09% to 3.85% implied probability)

Week 3 vs. UC Davis: Did not play (knee)

Unfortunately, Love’s knee kept him out of a game in which he probably could’ve put up some big numbers.

Justin Herbert (QB, Oregon): +2500 to +6000 (3.85% to 1.64% implied probability)

Week 3 vs. San Jose State: 16 for 34, 309 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT

Speaking of games that offer big potential stat lines, this is probably one that Herbert would like back. Completing fewer than 50% of his passes and throwing two picks against one of the worst teams in the country isn’t exactly a Heisman-winning formula.

Jarrett Stidham (QB, Auburn): +4000 to +10000 (2.44% to 0.99% implied probability)

Week 3 vs. LSU: 16 for 28, 198 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT

Stidham’s odds were already bleak, but now they’re borderline microscopic. He probably would’ve had to lead Auburn to an SEC title in order to have a shot at the Heisman, and last Saturday’s home loss to LSU just made that hill a whole lot steeper.

Jonathan Taylor (RB, Wisconsin): +600 to +1000 (14.29% to 9.09% implied probability)

Week 3 vs. BYU: 117 yards on 26 attempts, 3 catches for 14 yards

Taylor was one of last week’s biggest risers, but after not finding the end zone in Saturday’s loss to BYU, he’s fallen back to 10-1. Still, he’s the top running back on the list, and it shouldn’t shock anyone to seem him back among the favorites in the coming weeks.