Considering the potential for ridiculous player stat lines in college football, one game can have a significant impact on Heisman odds. That’s especially true early in the season, as frontrunners haven’t had enough time to distance themselves from the pack.
Week 2 proved just that as four players saw their Heisman chances make a big leap following their Saturday performances.
Jonathan Taylor (RB, Wisconsin): +1200 to +600 (7.69% to 14.29% implied probability)
Week 2 vs. New Mexico: 253 yards on 33 attempts, 3 TD
Taylor lost a bit of Heisman stock last week, but gained it all right back with his hefty contribution to Saturday’s win over New Mexico. He’s now tied for the second-most likely player to win the award.
Dwayne Haskins (QB, Ohio State): +2500 to +800 (3.85% to 11.11% implied probability)
Week 2 vs. Rutgers: 20 for 23, 233 yards, 4 TD, 0 INT
Plenty of books had Haskins in or close to this range after last week’s performance, but for whatever reason, Westgate wasn’t one of them. That makes him the biggest riser from his post-Week 1 odds after he completed more than 80% of his passes in Week 2.
Kyler Murray (QB, Oklahoma): +2000 to +1200 (4.76% to 7.69% implied probability)
Week 2 vs. UCLA: 19 for 33, 306 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT. 69 rush yards on 10 attempts, 2 rush TD
The future Oakland Athletic accounted for five touchdowns in the Sooners’ Week 2 win. His +1200 odds make him the sixth most likely winner of the trophy.
AJ Dillon (RB, Boston College): +6000 to +2000 (1.64% to 4.76% implied probability)
Week 2 vs. Holy Cross: 149 yards on 6 attempts, 3 TD
Nope, that’s not a typo. Dillon got only six touches on Saturday — all in the first eight minutes of the game — and averaged 24.8 yards per carry.
Khalil Tate (QB, Arizona): +2500 to +4000 (3.85% to 2.44% implied probability)
Week 2 @ Houston: 24 for 45, 341 yards, 0 TD, 2 INT. 8 rush yards on 7 attempts, 1 TD
There weren’t many big fallers from Week 2, so in another week Tate’s name might not have made this list. His subpar performance against Houston did make him the 14th-most likely award winner, though, after he was ninth last week.
JT Daniels (QB, USC): +4000 to +10000 (2.44% to 0.99% implied probability)
Week 2 @ Stanford: 16 for 34, 215 yards, 0 TD, 2 INT
After a solid start against UNLV in Week 1, Daniels was one of last week’s biggest risers. His Week 2 performance, however, sent his Heisman odds right back to where they stood before the season.
Trevor Lawrence (QB, Clemson): +4000 to +10000 (2.44% to 0.99% implied probability)
Week 2 at Texas A&M: 5 for 9, 93 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT
He did throw his fourth career college touchdown pass on Saturday (a 64-yard connection with Tee Higgins on his first snap of the game), but he’s had only 23 chances to throw the ball through two games, and that’s probably not enough to win a Heisman.