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Iowa State-Washington State Betting Guide: Will Air Raid Fall Flat in 2018 Alamo Bowl?

Dec 28, 2018 11:45 AM EST

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Gardner Minshew and Brock Purdy

2018 Alamo Bowl Betting Odds: Iowa State-Washington State

  • Odds: Washington State -2.5
  • Over/Under: 56.5
  • Date: Friday, Dec. 28
  • Location: San Antonio, Texas
  • Time: 9 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

>> All odds as of Thursday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time bowl odds and win probabilities on your bets.

Washington State fell short of the Pac-12 Championship Game in a disappointing effort against Washington to end the season, and bettors aren’t counting on the Cougars to respond.

Iowa State is a trendy dog this bowl season, falling from +6.5 all the way to +2.5 as of Thursday morning. Should you side with the line move, or is there now value on Wazzu?

Odds Moves for Alamo Bowl

By Danny Donahue

Washington State opened as high as -6.5, but has fallen all the way through the key number of -3 down to -2.5. That movement is a result of the 86% of money that’s hit Iowa State on just 53% of bets.

As for the total, it’s risen despite a relatively split decision among the public. Fifty-two percent have taken the under, but with 84% of money landing on the over, the number is up from 54.5 to 56.5.

Trends to Know

By Steve Petrella

Mike Leach has been successful against the spread (ATS) at Washington State, covering nearly 60% of games. But with extra time off — bowl games, bye weeks, opening games — he hasn’t been great, per Bet Labs.

  • 1-3 ATS in bowl games (eclipsed 20 points once)
  • 2-5 ATS in season openers
  • 5-4 ATS with at least 10 days between games

The conventional thinking is that the Air Raid offense is all about rhythm, and when it hasn’t clicked in a game for a while, it struggles to get going.

By John Ewing

No. 13 Washington State is favored over No. 24 Iowa State. In bowl games with two Top 25 teams, the favorite has gone 53-63-1 ATS since 2005.

By Stuckey

Iowa State coach Matt Campbell is the second-most profitable ATS coach in the last five years. He’s gone 36-21-2.

Dissecting Wazzu’s Offense

By Stuckey