Louisiana vs. UTSA, Western Kentucky vs. Georgia State Odds & Picks: Sharps Betting Saturday Afternoon’s Bowl Games (Dec. 26)

Louisiana vs. UTSA, Western Kentucky vs. Georgia State Odds & Picks: Sharps Betting Saturday Afternoon’s Bowl Games (Dec. 26) article feature image
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David K Purdy/Getty Images. Pictured: Percy Butler and Asjlin Washington

With Christmas in the rearview, it’s back to the multi-game bowl slates starting Saturday, with three kickoffs scheduled including two in the 3:30 p.m. ET slot. As of writing, those also happen to be the two drawing the most action from sharp bettors as presented by our PRO Report.

Unlock all the bowl season sharp action…

Alamo Bowl: Texas vs. Colorado

Music City Bowl: Iowa vs. Missouri

Sugar Bowl: Ohio State vs. Clemson

First Responder Bowl Odds: Louisiana vs. UTSA

Louisiana Odds -13.5
UTSA Odds +13.5
Over/Under 55.5
PRO Projection ULL -14 | O/U 57.2
Time 3:30 p.m. ET
TV ABC

First Responder Bowl Pick: Louisiana vs. UTSA

A steady fall has hit this total since it opened, and big bets from sharps appear to be the driving force.

Sharp Action

With opening numbers as high as 60, this total’s current consensus listing of 55.5 suggests a decent chance of sharp action on the under. And thanks to a couple Sports Insights Bet Signals, we can confirm that to be the case.

They’ve been triggered on the under at lines of 59 and 57, revealing at least two cases of market movement caused specifically by sharp under action at those numbers.

Sharp Action edge: Under

Big Money

Also giving sportsbooks reason to lower this total, the 75% of bettors on the under have generated almost all of the over/under money. Of course, a monetary liability is always going to catch attention, but this one is particularly noteworthy in that it reveals the under to be drawing bigger bets — the ones more likely to come from sharps.

Big Money edge: Under


LendingTree Bowl Odds: Western Kentucky vs. Georgia State

W. Kentucky Odds +3.5
Georgia State Odds -3.5
Over/Under 50
PRO Projection GA ST -6.8 | O/U 48.1
Time 3:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

LendingTree Bowl Pick: Western Kentucky vs. Georgia State

Almost the exact same story is unfolding in the LendingTree Bowl, only this one’s a few points shifted to begin with.

Sharp Action

Oddsmakers opened this total in the mid-50s, with some books even as high as 55.5. Now, though, that number has fallen to the 50-mark or further.

In this case, Sports Insights Bet Signals have been even more decisive in determining the move to be a result of professional action. They’ve been triggered seven times on the under (from 55.5 to 50.5), explaining the significant line shift.

Sharp Action edge: Under

Big Money

And following the same pattern, the bet-vs.-money discrepancy has once again shown bigger bets — the ones more likely to come from sharps — to be landing on the under. The 72% of bettors on the under have accounted for 92% of the money as of writing.

Big Money edge: Under

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