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Penn State-Michigan Betting Guide: McSorley’s Health Key; Wolverines Struggle vs. Mobile QBs

Nov 03, 2018 10:25 AM EDT

Penn State at Michigan Betting Odds

  • Spread: Michigan -10.5
  • Over/Under: 53.5
  • Time: 3:45 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

Penn State is 2-2 over its last four games, but all four were decided by six points or less — something that hasn’t happened at PSU since the 1800s.

Can Penn State make that five in a row and cover this number, potentially spoiling Michigan’s playoff hopes? Or will the Maze and Blue roll in the Big House by double digits?


>> All odds as of 7 a.m. ET on Friday. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets.


Market Moves for Penn State-Michigan

By Danny Donahue

Even though Michigan is the playoff contender in this matchup, most bettors haven’t been willing to lay the double-digit point spread on the Wolverines. Penn State has attracted 55% of bettors, but their bets have accounted for just 44% of dollars wagered, moving this line from +10 to +10.5.

As for the total, it fell initially from 54.5 to 52.5, but has since come back up a point despite a heavy majority backing the under (73% of bets).

McSorley’s Health a Huge Question Mark

By Steve Petrella

Losing Trace McSorley for any amount of time would be devastating for Penn State. But against Michigan, it’s especially important he’s fully healthy. The third-year starter suffered what we think is a knee injury against Iowa last week, and PSU hasn’t released any info about it. We know he’ll gut it out and play, but can he run like normal?

McSorley torched the Wolverines last year on the ground for 87 yards (not counting sacks) and three touchdowns on nine carries. He acknowledged this week how important it is that he can move.

We saw Notre Dame’s Brandon Wimbush beat Michigan with his legs earlier in the season. The Wolverines can lose elusive quarterbacks in the middle of the field.

“If there’s one thing that’s shown up as a pattern to possibly hurt (Michigan), it’s been an athletic quarterback, someone who can take advantage of running lanes because they play so much man and they’re aggressive,” McSorley told reporters.

The loss of offensive coordinator Joe Moorhead and some veteran pass catchers has limited McSorley’s effectiveness through the air this season. He’s completing just 53% of his passes at 7.0 yards per attempt, both career lows.

But McSorley has been clutch on the ground with 617 yards (already a career high) and nine scores on 110 carries. If he can’t rely on his legs, this Michigan defense will feast. I think that’s going to be the case, and Penn State’s offense won’t carry its load to push this total over.

Steve’s Pick: Under 53.5

Is There Anywhere Michigan Doesn’t Hold an Edge?

By Collin Wilson

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Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Miles Sanders and Devin Bush

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
-8.5
58.5
-11
59
-15
51.5
-15
49
52
-18
52
-19.5
-13.5
68
-14
68
-2
80
-2.5
84
54
-3
49
-2.5
-3
59
-4.5
56
-3
53.5
-6
52
61
-17
59.5
-17
57
-7
57.5
-7
52
-24
52.5
-24
55.5
-14
53.5
-13.5
58.5
-18
58
-17
-17
51
-17.5
51
60.5
-25
58.5
-26
41
-14
40.5
-13.5
47.5
-2
47.5
-3
-8
53.5
-10.5
54
44
-13.5
44
-11
68
-3
67.5
-2