Week 14 College Football Rankings: Brett McMurphy’s AP Top 25 Poll Ballot vs. Our Betting Power Ratings
Nic Antaya/Getty Images. Pictured: Michigan’s Quinten Johnson (28) and Joe Taylor (39).
With nine teams in last week’s Associated Press Top 25 losing this weekend, including four top-10 teams, there are massive changes on my AP ballot this week.
Michigan, TCU and USC all moved up one spot into my top four behind No. 1 Georgia. I nearly put the Wolverines at No. 1 after routing Ohio State — the most impressive win of the season — but I believe the Bulldogs’ overall body of work is ever so slightly better.
While I dropped Ohio State to No. 5, I moved Washington, Penn State and Oregon State into my top 10.
I ranked four new teams this week — South Carolina, UCF, Texas and Mississippi State — replacing Ole Miss, Coastal Carolina, Cincinnati and North Carolina.
Here is my complete AP Top 25 ballot compared to Action Network’s senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.
Brett McMurphy's Week 14 AP Top 25 Ballot
AP denotes Brett McMurphy's Associated Press Top 25 ballot.
PR denotes Collin Wilson's College Football Betting Power Ratings.
Only three of the top-10 teams on my AP ballot are not among Collin’s top 10 rated teams. They are Tennessee, Washington and Oregon State. While I have those three teams ranked No. 7, No. 8 and No. 10, respectively, Collin didn’t rank any of them higher than No. 14.
We agreed on four teams being among our top-five ranked teams: Georgia, Michigan, TCU and Ohio State.
On my AP ballot for teams ranked between 11-20, the biggest disagreement were two Group of Five teams I ranked: No. 17 Tulane and No. 20 UTSA. Collin has the Green Wave power-rated back at No. 28 and UTSA at No. 48.
We did both have five of the same schools rated between Nos. 11-20: Oregon, Florida State, LSU, Utah and Notre Dame.
Mississippi State is the only school ranked among my final five teams that Collin has a remotely similar ranking for. I have the Bulldogs at No. 25, and Collin has them at No. 19.
The biggest difference was I ranked Troy No. 22, and Collin ranked the Trojans at No. 47.
Also, Collin had five teams in the top 25 of his power ratings that I did not rank on my Top 25 ballot this week: No. 15 Oklahoma, No. 20 Texas Tech, No. 22 Ole Miss, No. 23 Minnesota and No. 24 Illinois.