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Week 14 College Football Rankings: Brett McMurphy’s AP Top 25 Poll Ballot vs. Our Betting Power Ratings

Week 14 College Football Rankings: Brett McMurphy’s AP Top 25 Poll Ballot vs. Our Betting Power Ratings article feature image
Credit:

Nic Antaya/Getty Images. Pictured: Michigan’s Quinten Johnson (28) and Joe Taylor (39).

With nine teams in last week’s Associated Press Top 25 losing this weekend, including four top-10 teams, there are massive changes on my AP ballot this week.

Michigan, TCU and USC all moved up one spot into my top four behind No. 1 Georgia. I nearly put the Wolverines at No. 1 after routing Ohio State — the most impressive win of the season — but I believe the Bulldogs’ overall body of work is ever so slightly better.

While I dropped Ohio State to No. 5, I moved Washington, Penn State and Oregon State into my top 10.

I ranked four new teams this week — South Carolina, UCF, Texas and Mississippi State — replacing Ole Miss, Coastal Carolina, Cincinnati and North Carolina.

Here is my complete AP Top 25 ballot compared to Action Network’s senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.

Updated 2022 College Football Betting Power Ratings

Brett McMurphy’s Week 14 AP Top 25 Ballot

AP denotes Brett McMurphy’s Associated Press Top 25 ballot.
PR denotes Collin Wilson’s College Football Betting Power Ratings.


1

AP

Georgia

1

PR

2

AP

Michigan

2

PR

3

AP

TCU

5

PR

4

AP

USC

9

PR

5

AP

Ohio State

3

PR

6

AP

Alabama

4

PR

7

AP

Tennessee

14

PR

8

AP

Washington

18

PR

9

AP

Penn State

6

PR

10

AP

Oregon State

21

PR

Only three of the top-10 teams on my AP ballot are not among Collin’s top 10 rated teams. They are Tennessee, Washington and Oregon State. While I have those three teams ranked No. 7, No. 8 and No. 10, respectively, Collin didn’t rank any of them higher than No. 14.

We agreed on four teams being among our top-five ranked teams: Georgia, Michigan, TCU and Ohio State.


11

AP

Oregon

12

PR

12

AP

Florida State

13

PR

13

AP

LSU

16

PR

14

AP

Utah

11

PR

15

AP

Kansas State

8

PR

16

AP

Clemson

10

PR

17

AP

Tulane

28

PR

18

AP

UCLA

25

PR

19

AP

Notre Dame

17

PR

20

AP

UTSA

48

PR

On my AP ballot for teams ranked between 11-20, the biggest disagreement were two Group of Five teams I ranked: No. 17 Tulane and No. 20 UTSA. Collin has the Green Wave power-rated back at No. 28 and UTSA at No. 48.

We did both have five of the same schools rated between Nos. 11-20: Oregon, Florida State, LSU, Utah and Notre Dame.


21

AP

South Carolina

31

PR

22

AP

Troy

47

PR

23

AP

UCF

35

PR

24

AP

Texas

7

PR

25

AP

Mississippi State

19

PR

Mississippi State is the only school ranked among my final five teams that Collin has a remotely similar ranking for. I have the Bulldogs at No. 25, and Collin has them at No. 19.

The biggest difference was I ranked Troy No. 22, and Collin ranked the Trojans at No. 47.

Also, Collin had five teams in the top 25 of his power ratings that I did not rank on my Top 25 ballot this week: No. 15 Oklahoma, No. 20 Texas Tech, No. 22 Ole Miss, No. 23 Minnesota and No. 24 Illinois.


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