West Virginia-Texas Tech Betting Guide: Should You Trust WVU’s Unknowns?

Sep 29, 2018 10:36 AM EDT
Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Will Grier

West Virginia-Texas Tech Betting Odds, Pick

  • Odds: West Virginia -3.5
  • Over/Under: 72
  • Time: 12 p.m. ET, Saturday
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

>> All odds as of 4 p.m. ET on Thursday. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets.


Start your Saturday with some electricity in Lubbock between two of the highest-scoring offenses in the country.

No. 12 West Virginia travels to No. 25 Texas Tech in a pivotal early Big 12 showdown. The Red Raiders are coming off an upset over Oklahoma State as 14-point dogs, but will have to contend with quarterback Will Grier, one of the most prolific passers in the country.

Based on our power ratings, AP voters are overrating West Virginia. The Mountaineers are 21st by our measures, and 12th in the AP Poll. Texas Tech is also overrated at 25th in the poll and at No. 35 in our power ratings.

Market Moves for West Virginia-Texas Tech

By Danny Donahue

Despite Tech’s impressive upset win last week, more bettors are still backing the Mountaineers on Saturday, as West Virginia has picked up 52% of bets thus far.

More of the money being wagered, however, is behind Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are accounting for 58% of dollars bet, and have fallen to +3.5 after opening +4.

The high total has drawn mixed feelings from bettors, as 53% have taken the under. Those bets are accounting for 75% of dollars, however, so the number plummeted from 75 to 72 on Thursday afternoon.

Trends to Know

By John Ewing

Keep an eye on the weather. The forecast is calling for average wind gusts of 11 mph throughout the game. Since 2005, it has been profitable to bet the under in windy games.

Texas Tech has moved from +4 to +3.5. Since 2005 in matchups of ranked teams, when the line moves in the direction of the underdog (becomes a smaller dog) that team has gone 91-111-3 (45%) ATS in the regular season.

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