2022 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds Tracker: Henry Favored

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Derrick Henry is favored to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year after missing much of last season before returning for the Titans only playoff game. But that begs the question -- has he already returned, and can he still win? 

That's what makes Comeback Player of the Year so interesting. There aren't clear guardrails to define who is eligible and who can win. It doesn't go to the best statistical season, like MVP or Rookie of the Year. In fact, many sportsbooks don't list all the same players.

The official definition: CPOY is given to the player "who shows perseverance in overcoming adversity, in the form of not being in the NFL the previous year, overcoming a severe injury, or simply a poor performance."

CPOY generally goes to injured quarterbacks who return to form. But this year, there aren't many injured QBs returning -- Saints QB Jameis Winston is really the only one, and Giants QB Daniel Jones, who missed the last six games. That makes the field feel wide open.

Here are some players who have taken action so far this offseason:

  • Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey has dropped from +1600 to +700 at FanDuel after missing most of the last two seasons. Just one running back has won since 1998.
  • Panthers QB Baker Mayfield dropped a bit following his trade to Carolina. In the last two decades, five quarterbacks who were not injured but rebounded from poor performance have won. Mayfield will have the narrative in his favor after the Browns ran him out of town by trading for Deshaun Watson, who is also a favorite for this award (but probably shouldn't be).
  • Winston's moved from +700 to +500 at FanDuel.
  • Watson has ping-ponged around a bit as rumors swirl about the length of his suspension. He was the second betting choice earlier in the offseason at DraftKings, and is now seventh at +1200. He's not listed at FanDuel.

Odds via DraftKings and updated in real-time.

PlayerOdds
Saquon Barkley - New York Giants+250
Brian Robinson - Washington Commanders+650
Christian McCaffrey - Carolina Panthers+700
Derrick Henry - Tennessee Titans+1200
Michael Thomas - New Orleans Saints+1600
Jameis Winston - New Orleans Saints+1600
JuJu Smith-Schuster - Kansas City Chiefs+1800
Allen Robinson II - Los Angeles Rams+2000
Baker Mayfield - Carolina Panthers+2200
Marcus Mariota - Atlanta Falcons+3000
Khalil Mack - Los Angeles Chargers+3000
J.K. Dobbins - Baltimore Ravens+3000
Danielle Hunter - Minnesota Vikings+4000
Jeff Okudah - Detroit Lions+4000
Daniel Jones - New York Giants+4000
Marcus Peters - Baltimore Ravens+5000
Mitch Trubisky - Pittsburgh Steelers+5000
Travis Etienne Jr. - Jacksonville Jaguars+5000
Chase Young - Washington Commanders+5000
Deshaun Watson - Cleveland Browns+5000
Raheem Mostert - Miami Dolphins+5000
Trey Lance - San Francisco 49ers+5000
Tre'Davious White - Buffalo Bills+6000
J.J. Watt - Arizona Cardinals+6000
Robert Woods - Tennessee Titans+6000
Cam Akers - Los Angeles Rams+6000
Chris Godwin - Tampa Bay Buccaneers+6000
Darrell Henderson Jr. - Los Angeles Rams+6000
Geno Smith - Seattle Seahawks+7500
Carl Lawson - New York Jets+7500
DeAndre Hopkins - Arizona Cardinals+8000
D.J. Chark - Detroit Lions+8000
Marlon Humphrey - Baltimore Ravens+8000
Drew Lock - Seattle Seahawks+8000
Jaycee Horn - Carolina Panthers+8000
Gus Edwards - Baltimore Ravens+10000
Brandon Graham - Philadelphia Eagles+10000
Maxx Williams - Arizona Cardinals+10000
Dan Arnold - Jacksonville Jaguars+10000
Ronnie Stanley - Baltimore Ravens+10000
Gardner Minshew - Philadelphia Eagles+10000

Who Are the Comeback Player of the Year Favorites?

1. Derrick Henry +400

  • RB, Titans
  • Reason: Injury

Henry is favored to win, despite coming back in the playoffs last season. He's due for a monster statistical season like usual, but will the narrative be in his favor since he already came back and proved he could play?

2. Jameis Winston

  • QB, Saints
  • Reason: Injury

This award often goes to injured quarterbacks who return to form, and Winston is the only one who fits that bill this year. The Saints offense was terrible without him last year, and they've got a new coach. He's got the narrative in his favor. 

3. Christian McCaffrey +750

  • RB, Panthers
  • Reason: Injury

McCaffrey also has some narrative in his favor after missing most of the last two seasons with a variety of injuries. But just one running back has won this award since 1998.

4. Daniel Jones +800

  • QB, Giants
  • Reason: Injury/Performance

Jones has one last chance with a new coaching stuff and oddsmakers are counting on voters buying into that narrative if his performance improves. He did miss the last six games of the regular season in 2021, but I'm not sure most voters will remember that because his injury wasn't clearly season-ending. He was questionable for three weeks, then inactive for the last three.

5. Mitchell Trubisky +1000

  • QB, Steelers
  • Reason: Performance

Trubisky has plenty of narrative on his side -- the Bears were a disaster, gave up on him, and he now lands in a spot where he has to replace a franchise legend in Ben Roethlisberger.

FUTURESConsensusCons.
Saquon BarkleyS.Barkley
+350
+300
N/A
+350
+250
+350
+350
Christian McCaffreyC.McCaffrey
+600
+650
N/A
+500
+700
+600
+600
Brian RobinsonB.Robinson
+624
+650
N/A
N/A
+650
+700
+400
James RobinsonJ.Robinson
+1100
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+1600
+900
Derrick HenryD.Henry
+1200
+1000
N/A
+1200
+1200
+1000
+1200
Jameis WinstonJ.Winston
+1600
+1800
N/A
+1200
+1600
+1600
+1600
JuJu Smith-SchusterJ.Smith-Schuster
+1600
+2000
N/A
+1600
+1800
+1600
+1500
Michael ThomasM.Thomas
+1600
+1800
N/A
+1600
+1600
+1600
+1600
Julio JonesJ.Jones
+2500
N/A
N/A
+2500
N/A
+2000
+2500
Marcus MariotaM.Mariota
+3000
+3300
N/A
+3000
+3000
+3000
+3000
Baker MayfieldB.Mayfield
+3000
+3000
N/A
+2500
+2200
+3000
+4000
Allen Robinson IIA.Robinson
+3000
+5000
N/A
+3000
+2000
+3000
+4000
J.K. DobbinsJ.Dobbins
+3300
+6600
N/A
+3500
+3000
+4000
+3000
Chris GodwinC.Godwin
+4000
+5000
N/A
+5000
+6000
+4000
+4000
Daniel JonesD.Jones
+4000
+3000
N/A
+5000
+4000
+4000
+6000
Khalil MackK.Mack
+4446
+6600
N/A
+4000
+3000
N/A
+5000
Jeff OkudahJ.Okudah
+5000
+4000
N/A
+5000
+4000
+3000
+5000
Danielle HunterD.Hunter
+5000
+5000
N/A
+4000
+4000
+5000
+5000
Travis Etienne Jr.T.Etienne
+5000
+6000
N/A
+5000
+5000
+5000
+5000
Chase YoungC.Young
+5000
+5000
N/A
+5000
+5000
+5000
+6000
Trey LanceT.Lance
+5000
N/A
N/A
+5000
+5000
+10000
N/A
Tre'Davious WhiteT.White
+5000
+20000
N/A
+5000
+6000
+7500
+5000
Raheem MostertR.Mostert
+5000
+8000
N/A
+5000
+5000
+10000
+5000
Geno SmithG.Smith
+6000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+7500
N/A
+6000
K.J. HamlerK.Hamler
+6600
+6600
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Mitch TrubiskyM.Trubisky
+6600
+6600
N/A
+5000
+5000
+7500
+8000
Robert WoodsR.Woods
+7000
+4000
N/A
+5000
+6000
+10000
+10000
Jacoby BrissettJ.Brissett
+7500
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+7500
Cam AkersC.Akers
+7500
+8000
N/A
+5000
+6000
+7500
+7500
Darrell Henderson Jr.D.Henderson
+7500
+6600
N/A
+6000
+6000
+10000
+7500
D.J. CharkD.Chark
+7742
+6600
N/A
+8000
+8000
N/A
+7500
Marlon HumphreyM.Humphrey
+8000
+10000
N/A
+8000
+8000
+10000
+7500
J.J. WattJ.Watt
+8000
+8000
N/A
+5000
+6000
+10000
+10000
Jaycee HornJ.Horn
+8000
+25000
N/A
+10000
+8000
+10000
+7500
Drew LockD.Lock
+8000
+12500
N/A
+8000
+8000
+10000
+8000
David BakhtiariD.Bakhtiari
+8036
+20000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Gus EdwardsG.Edwards
+10000
+30000
N/A
+10000
+10000
+10000
+15000
Jared GoffJ.Goff
+10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
Joe FlaccoJ.Flacco
+10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
Gardner MinshewG.Minshew
+10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
N/A
Maxx WilliamsM.Williams
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
N/A
+20000
Deshaun WatsonD.Watson
+10000
+25000
N/A
-10000
+5000
N/A
+10000
DeAndre HopkinsD.Hopkins
+10000
+10000
N/A
+8000
+8000
+10000
+10000
Jimmy GaroppoloJ.Garoppolo
+10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
Brandon GrahamB.Graham
+10000
+10000
N/A
+10000
+10000
+20000
+15000
Marcus PetersM.Peters
+10000
+15000
N/A
+6000
+5000
+10000
+10000
Carl LawsonC.Lawson
+10000
+10000
N/A
+8000
+7500
+10000
+10000
Adam ThielenA.Thielen
+15000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+15000
Ronnie StanleyR.Stanley
+15000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+15000
Dan ArnoldD.Arnold
+20000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
+20000

Where Can I Bet NFL Awards?

Looking to bet NFL Comeback Player of the Year? See where legal sports betting stands in your state, and get a full list of sportsbooks by state.

Here are the 25 states with some form of legal sports gambling.

State Status Type
Arizona Legal (Online) Full online
Arkansas Legal (Online) Retail only
Colorado Legal (Online) Full online
Connecticut Legal (Online) Limited online operators
Delaware Legal (Retail) Retail only
D.C. Legal (Online) Limited online operators
Illinois Legal (Online) Full online
Indiana Legal (Online) Full online
Iowa Legal (Online) Full online
Louisiana Legal (Online) Full online
Maryland Legal (Retail) Retail only
Michigan Legal (Online) Full online
Mississippi Legal (Retail) Bet online in casinos
Nevada Legal (Online) Full online, in-person sign ups
New Hampshire Legal (Online) One online operator
New Jersey Legal (Online) Full online
New York Legal (Online) Full online (no awards)
Oregon Legal (Online) One online operator
Pennsylvania Legal (Online) Full online
Rhode Island Legal (Online) Limited online operators
South Dakota Legal (Retail) Retail only
Tennessee Legal (Online) Full online
Virginia Legal (Online) Full online
West Virginia Legal (Online) Full online
Wyoming Legal (Online) Limited online operators
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