NFL Pick For Cowboys vs. Bucs: How We’re Betting Michael Gallup’s Receiving Yards On Thursday Night Football
Wesley Hitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Michael Gallup
- The 2021 NFL season kicks off this Thursday night when the Buccaneers host the Cowboys.
- Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, reveals his top prop bet for the season opener.
Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, is highlighting his favorite player prop on PrizePicks for every slate throughout the 2021 NFL season — starting with Cowboys vs. Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football.
Operating under the daily fantasy umbrella (meaning that they’re available in more states than betting!), PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props. Instead of betting on individual props, you parlay two or more together, aka Koerner’s pick can be used as the cornerstone for yours.
He has a 372-277-4 (57%) all-time record on NFL bets he’s tracked in the Action app.
Michael Gallup Over 46.5 Rec Yards
Last season, Michael Gallup became the odd man out in the Cowboys’ passing attack as his role was as the low-percentage, high aDot vertical threat in the offense.
He could have thrived in that role with Dak Prescott under center — in fact, Gallup was on pace for a 1,100-yard season through the first four games. However, once Prescott suffered his season-ending injury, Gallup’s role was not a great fit for backup QB Andy Dalton, and the receiver’s production took a nosedive as a result.
Even still, Gallup managed to go over this prop 50% of the time last season despite nine starts by Dalton, one by Garrett Gilbert and one by Ben DiNucci.
Now not only does Gallup get Prescott back, but the Cowboys have been moving Gallup around the formation in training camp. As a result, we should see him line up in the slot, and CeeDee Lamb kicked outside more. It’s going to help raise Gallup’s target share and make him much more consistent week-to-week.
The Cowboys will likely be forced into a pass-heavy game script tonight, which should also benefit Gallup.
The market is overlooking Gallup heading into Dallas’ season opener in Tampa Bay, making this is a perfect buy-low opportunity. He might be the most underrated wide receiver in the league right now, considering he is only 25 years old and entering his prime.
I’m projecting Gallup for closer to 56 yards and would take the over up to 52.5 yards.
Bonus: Here’s a great catch by Gallup in training camp that serves zero purpose other than a reminder of just how good he is: